Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 23–29 September 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
27.2% |
25.5–29.0% |
25.0–29.5% |
24.6–30.0% |
23.8–30.9% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
23.8% |
22.2–25.6% |
21.7–26.1% |
21.3–26.5% |
20.6–27.4% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
9.5% |
8.4–10.8% |
8.1–11.1% |
7.9–11.4% |
7.4–12.1% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
9.1% |
8.1–10.4% |
7.8–10.7% |
7.5–11.0% |
7.0–11.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
9.0% |
8.0–10.3% |
7.7–10.6% |
7.4–10.9% |
7.0–11.6% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.9% |
6.0–8.0% |
5.7–8.4% |
5.5–8.6% |
5.1–9.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.3–7.8% |
5.1–8.1% |
4.7–8.6% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.2% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.6% |
1.5–4.0% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.8% |
1.0–3.2% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.8% |
1.0–3.2% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.5% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.4–1.9% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.0–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
36% |
100% |
|
5 |
64% |
64% |
Median |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
2% |
100% |
|
4 |
86% |
98% |
Median |
5 |
12% |
12% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
78% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
22% |
22% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.8% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.1% |
99.2% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.9% |
98.9% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
86% |
99.8% |
Median |
6 |
14% |
14% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
36% |
100% |
|
5 |
64% |
64% |
Median |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
78% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
22% |
22% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.9% |
98.9% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.8% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.1% |
99.2% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 23–29 September 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1041
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.75%