Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 21–27 October 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
26.9% |
25.2–28.7% |
24.7–29.2% |
24.3–29.7% |
23.5–30.6% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
23.4% |
21.8–25.2% |
21.3–25.7% |
20.9–26.1% |
20.1–26.9% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
9.3% |
8.2–10.6% |
7.9–10.9% |
7.7–11.3% |
7.2–11.9% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
9.1% |
8.1–10.4% |
7.8–10.7% |
7.5–11.1% |
7.0–11.7% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
8.1% |
7.1–9.3% |
6.8–9.6% |
6.5–9.9% |
6.1–10.5% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.7% |
6.7–8.8% |
6.4–9.2% |
6.2–9.5% |
5.8–10.1% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.1–8.7% |
5.8–9.0% |
5.4–9.6% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.2% |
1.7–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.3% |
1.3–3.7% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.4% |
1.2–2.6% |
1.1–2.8% |
0.9–3.1% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.2% |
0.9–2.4% |
0.7–2.7% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.8–1.7% |
0.7–1.9% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.5–2.3% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.5% |
0.5–1.7% |
0.4–1.9% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
72% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
28% |
28% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
97% |
98.9% |
Median |
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
87% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
13% |
13% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
41% |
100% |
|
2 |
59% |
59% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.6% |
99.6% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4–6 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
2 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Stram Kurs () – Nye Borgerlige () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
97% |
98.9% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
72% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
28% |
28% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
87% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
13% |
13% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
41% |
100% |
|
2 |
59% |
59% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.6% |
99.6% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs () – Nye Borgerlige () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 21–27 October 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1030
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.79%