Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 25 November–2 December 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
26.6% |
24.9–28.4% |
24.4–28.9% |
24.0–29.4% |
23.2–30.2% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
22.9% |
21.3–24.6% |
20.9–25.1% |
20.5–25.6% |
19.7–26.4% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
9.8% |
8.7–11.0% |
8.4–11.4% |
8.1–11.7% |
7.6–12.3% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
8.7% |
7.7–9.9% |
7.4–10.3% |
7.1–10.6% |
6.7–11.2% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.3% |
7.3–9.5% |
7.0–9.9% |
6.8–10.2% |
6.4–10.8% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.4% |
6.4–8.5% |
6.2–8.8% |
6.0–9.1% |
5.5–9.7% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
7.1% |
6.2–8.2% |
5.9–8.5% |
5.7–8.8% |
5.3–9.4% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.9% |
0.9–2.1% |
0.8–2.2% |
0.6–2.5% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.8% |
0.8–2.0% |
0.7–2.1% |
0.6–2.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
25% |
100% |
|
5 |
75% |
75% |
Median |
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
6% |
100% |
|
4 |
93% |
94% |
Median |
5 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
78% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
22% |
22% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
94% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
6% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.8% |
99.8% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
5% |
100% |
|
5 |
88% |
95% |
Median |
6 |
7% |
7% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
25% |
100% |
|
5 |
75% |
75% |
Median |
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
78% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
22% |
22% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 25 November–2 December 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1056
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.19%