Opinion Poll by Gallup, 12 December 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
25.9% |
24.5–27.5% |
24.1–27.9% |
23.8–28.2% |
23.1–29.0% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
23.3% |
21.9–24.8% |
21.6–25.2% |
21.2–25.5% |
20.6–26.2% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
8.4% |
7.6–9.4% |
7.3–9.7% |
7.1–10.0% |
6.7–10.5% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
8.2% |
7.3–9.1% |
7.1–9.4% |
6.9–9.7% |
6.5–10.2% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.0% |
7.1–8.9% |
6.9–9.2% |
6.7–9.4% |
6.3–9.9% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
7.7% |
6.9–8.7% |
6.7–9.0% |
6.5–9.2% |
6.1–9.7% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
6.8% |
6.0–7.7% |
5.8–8.0% |
5.6–8.2% |
5.3–8.7% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
3.6% |
3.0–4.3% |
2.9–4.5% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.5–5.0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.3% |
1.9–2.9% |
1.7–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.5% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.2% |
1.2–2.3% |
1.1–2.5% |
1.0–2.8% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.0% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.2% |
0.8–2.5% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.4% |
0.7–1.6% |
0.6–1.7% |
0.5–1.9% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0.0% |
0.8% |
0.6–1.2% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.4–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
3% |
100% |
|
5 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
98% |
99.9% |
Median |
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.3% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.5% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
97% |
99.9% |
Median |
6 |
3% |
3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
3% |
100% |
|
5 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.5% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Gallup
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 12 December 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1484
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.96%