Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 6–11 January 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 19.1% 27.0% 25.3–28.8% 24.8–29.3% 24.4–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
Venstre (RE) 16.7% 22.8% 21.2–24.6% 20.7–25.1% 20.3–25.5% 19.6–26.3%
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 26.6% 8.6% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 6.5% 8.2% 7.1–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 10.9% 8.2% 7.1–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 9.1% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
Stram Kurs (*) 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Liberal Alliance (RE) 2.9% 2.1% 1.7–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Nye Borgerlige (*) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 3 5 5 5 4–5 4–5
Venstre (RE) 2 4 4 4 4 3–5
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 4 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Radikale Venstre (RE) 1 1 1 1 1 1–2
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 1 1 1 1 1 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 1 1 1 1 1 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Liberal Alliance (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nye Borgerlige (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 5% 100%  
5 95% 95% Median
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0.7% 100%  
4 98% 99.3% Median
5 1.3% 1.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (ID)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.9% 0.9%  
3 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
2 1.0% 1.0%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100% Last Result
1 98.6% 98.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Liberal Alliance (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nye Borgerlige (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) 3 5 0% 5 5 5 4–6
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 3 5 0% 5 5 4–5 4–5
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 4 1 0% 1 1 1–2 1–2
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 1 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Stram Kurs () – Nye Borgerlige () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0.6% 100%  
5 97% 99.4% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 5% 100%  
5 95% 95% Median
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (ID)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100% Last Result
1 98.6% 98.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs () – Nye Borgerlige () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations