Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 24 February–1 March 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
26.8% |
25.1–28.6% |
24.6–29.1% |
24.2–29.6% |
23.4–30.5% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
23.6% |
22.0–25.4% |
21.5–25.8% |
21.1–26.3% |
20.3–27.1% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
8.8% |
7.8–10.0% |
7.5–10.4% |
7.2–10.7% |
6.8–11.3% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.7% |
7.2–10.1% |
7.0–10.4% |
6.5–11.0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
8.2% |
7.2–9.4% |
6.9–9.8% |
6.7–10.1% |
6.2–10.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.7% |
6.8–8.9% |
6.5–9.2% |
6.2–9.5% |
5.8–10.1% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
7.0% |
6.0–8.1% |
5.8–8.4% |
5.6–8.7% |
5.2–9.3% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.8–3.4% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.4–3.9% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.2% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.6–3.1% |
1.5–3.3% |
1.3–3.7% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0.0% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.1–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
34% |
100% |
|
5 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
4 |
96% |
99.4% |
Median |
5 |
3% |
3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
72% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
28% |
28% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
99.8% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.8% |
99.9% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
5 |
69% |
99.7% |
Median |
6 |
31% |
31% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
34% |
100% |
|
5 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
99.8% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 24 February–1 March 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1034
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.16%