Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 25 February–2 March 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
27.7% |
26.3–29.2% |
25.9–29.6% |
25.6–30.0% |
24.9–30.7% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
22.3% |
21.0–23.7% |
20.6–24.1% |
20.3–24.4% |
19.7–25.1% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
8.7% |
7.8–9.6% |
7.6–9.9% |
7.4–10.2% |
7.0–10.6% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
8.0% |
7.2–8.9% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.8–9.4% |
6.4–9.9% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.6% |
6.8–8.5% |
6.6–8.8% |
6.4–9.0% |
6.1–9.5% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
7.4% |
6.6–8.3% |
6.4–8.6% |
6.2–8.8% |
5.9–9.3% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.1% |
6.4–8.0% |
6.1–8.3% |
5.9–8.5% |
5.6–8.9% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
4.1% |
3.5–4.8% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.2% |
3.0–5.6% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.8% |
1.2–3.1% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
1.9% |
1.5–2.4% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.9% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.2% |
1.2–2.3% |
1.2–2.5% |
1.0–2.7% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
5 |
98% |
98.6% |
Median |
6 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
4 |
98% |
98.6% |
Median |
5 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.0% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4–5 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
5 |
98.9% |
99.4% |
Median |
6 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
5 |
98% |
98.6% |
Median |
6 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): DR
- Fieldwork period: 25 February–2 March 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1602
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.94%