Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 11–17 May 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
34.7% |
32.8–36.6% |
32.3–37.2% |
31.8–37.6% |
30.9–38.6% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
20.4% |
18.9–22.1% |
18.5–22.6% |
18.1–23.0% |
17.4–23.9% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.5% |
6.5–9.8% |
6.0–10.4% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
7.5% |
6.5–8.7% |
6.3–9.0% |
6.0–9.3% |
5.6–9.9% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
7.2% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.0–8.7% |
5.8–9.0% |
5.3–9.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.2% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.0–8.7% |
5.8–9.0% |
5.3–9.5% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
6.8% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.6–8.2% |
5.4–8.5% |
5.0–9.1% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
2.1% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
1.7% |
1.2–2.3% |
1.1–2.5% |
1.0–2.6% |
0.9–3.0% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
1.6% |
1.2–2.2% |
1.1–2.4% |
1.0–2.5% |
0.8–2.9% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.5% |
0.5–1.7% |
0.4–1.9% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0.0% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.1–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
11% |
100% |
|
6 |
83% |
89% |
Median |
7 |
7% |
7% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
87% |
100% |
Median |
4 |
13% |
13% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.4% |
99.4% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.6% |
99.6% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
|
1 |
92% |
92% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
6 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–7 |
5–7 |
5–7 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
11% |
100% |
|
6 |
83% |
89% |
Median |
7 |
7% |
7% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
87% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
13% |
13% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.6% |
99.6% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.4% |
99.4% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–17 May 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1027
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.03%