Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 11–17 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 19.1% 34.7% 32.8–36.6% 32.3–37.2% 31.8–37.6% 30.9–38.6%
Venstre (RE) 16.7% 20.4% 18.9–22.1% 18.5–22.6% 18.1–23.0% 17.4–23.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 6.5% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 26.6% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.3–9.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 10.9% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.3–9.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 9.1% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Nye Borgerlige (*) 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Liberal Alliance (RE) 2.9% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–3.0%
Stram Kurs (*) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.5% 0.8–2.9%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 3 6 5–6 5–7 5–7 5–7
Venstre (RE) 2 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 1 1 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 4 1 1 1 1 0–1
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 1 1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 1 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nye Borgerlige (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Liberal Alliance (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 11% 100%  
6 83% 89% Median
7 7% 7%  
8 0% 0% Majority

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 87% 100% Median
4 13% 13%  
5 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 100% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 99.9% 99.9% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (ID)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 99.4% 99.4% Median
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 99.6% 99.6% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 92% 92% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Liberal Alliance (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stram Kurs (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 3 6 0% 5–6 5–7 5–7 5–7
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) 3 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 1 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 4 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 11% 100%  
6 83% 89% Median
7 7% 7%  
8 0% 0% Majority

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 87% 100% Median
5 13% 13%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 99.6% 99.6% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (ID)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 99.4% 99.4% Median
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 100% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations