Opinion Poll by Epinion, 22–29 May 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
34.5% |
33.0–36.0% |
32.6–36.4% |
32.2–36.8% |
31.5–37.6% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
20.4% |
19.2–21.7% |
18.8–22.1% |
18.5–22.4% |
17.9–23.1% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.3% |
6.5–8.2% |
6.3–8.5% |
6.1–8.7% |
5.8–9.1% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
6.9% |
6.1–7.8% |
5.9–8.0% |
5.7–8.2% |
5.4–8.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
6.8% |
6.1–7.7% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.7–8.2% |
5.4–8.6% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
6.2% |
5.5–7.0% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.1–7.5% |
4.8–7.9% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.1% |
5.4–6.9% |
5.2–7.1% |
5.0–7.4% |
4.7–7.8% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
5.8% |
5.1–6.6% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.8–7.0% |
4.5–7.4% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.4% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.1–3.7% |
1.9–4.0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.5% |
0.7–1.6% |
0.7–1.7% |
0.6–2.0% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
0.8% |
0.6–1.2% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.4–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
40% |
100% |
|
6 |
60% |
60% |
Median |
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
4 |
4% |
4% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.8% |
99.8% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.8% |
98.8% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
20% |
100% |
|
1 |
80% |
80% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
19% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
81% |
81% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
23% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
77% |
77% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
6 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
40% |
100% |
|
6 |
60% |
60% |
Median |
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
19% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
79% |
81% |
Median |
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.8% |
99.8% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.8% |
98.8% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
19% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
81% |
81% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22–29 May 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1642
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.87%