Opinion Poll by Epinion, 22–28 September 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
31.3% |
29.9–32.8% |
29.4–33.2% |
29.1–33.6% |
28.4–34.3% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
17.7% |
16.5–18.9% |
16.2–19.3% |
15.9–19.6% |
15.3–20.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
10.6% |
9.7–11.7% |
9.4–12.0% |
9.2–12.2% |
8.8–12.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.3% |
6.5–8.2% |
6.3–8.5% |
6.1–8.7% |
5.8–9.1% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
6.9% |
6.1–7.8% |
5.9–8.0% |
5.7–8.2% |
5.4–8.7% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
6.8% |
6.1–7.7% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.7–8.2% |
5.3–8.6% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
6.6% |
5.9–7.5% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.5–8.0% |
5.2–8.4% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
6.6% |
5.9–7.5% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.5–8.0% |
5.2–8.4% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.1% |
1.7–2.6% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.5–2.9% |
1.3–3.2% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.4% |
1.1–1.9% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.1% |
0.8–2.4% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.4% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.6–1.6% |
0.5–1.8% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–0.9% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.3–1.1% |
0.3–1.3% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
33% |
100% |
|
5 |
58% |
67% |
Median |
6 |
9% |
9% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
13% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
87% |
87% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
59% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
41% |
41% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.6% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.4% |
99.4% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.3% |
99.3% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.3% |
99.3% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.6% |
98.6% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.5% |
99.5% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
33% |
100% |
|
5 |
58% |
67% |
Median |
6 |
9% |
9% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
13% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
87% |
87% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
59% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
41% |
41% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.3% |
99.3% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.6% |
98.6% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.6% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.4% |
99.4% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22–28 September 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1629
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.61%