Opinion Poll by Gallup, 28 September–4 October 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
29.4% |
28.2–30.7% |
27.8–31.1% |
27.5–31.4% |
26.9–32.1% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
19.1% |
18.0–20.3% |
17.7–20.6% |
17.5–20.9% |
16.9–21.4% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
10.4% |
9.6–11.3% |
9.4–11.6% |
9.2–11.8% |
8.8–12.3% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
8.3% |
7.6–9.1% |
7.4–9.4% |
7.2–9.6% |
6.8–10.0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.1% |
6.4–7.9% |
6.2–8.1% |
6.1–8.3% |
5.7–8.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.7% |
6.0–7.5% |
5.8–7.7% |
5.7–7.9% |
5.4–8.2% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
6.7% |
6.0–7.5% |
5.8–7.7% |
5.7–7.9% |
5.4–8.2% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
6.2% |
5.6–7.0% |
5.4–7.2% |
5.2–7.3% |
5.0–7.7% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.1% |
1.7–2.6% |
1.6–2.7% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.4–3.1% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.6% |
1.3–2.0% |
1.2–2.2% |
1.1–2.3% |
1.0–2.5% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.7–1.2% |
0.6–1.3% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.5–1.6% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–0.9% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.3–1.0% |
0.3–1.2% |
Borgerlisten (*) |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.0–0.3% |
0.0–0.3% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Borgerlisten (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgerlisten (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Nye Borgerlige () – Veganerpartiet () – Stram Kurs () – Borgerlisten () |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige () – Veganerpartiet () – Stram Kurs () – Borgerlisten ()
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Gallup
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 28 September–4 October 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 2046
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.97%