Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 12–18 October 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
30.8% |
29.0–32.8% |
28.5–33.3% |
28.1–33.8% |
27.2–34.7% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
18.3% |
16.8–19.9% |
16.4–20.4% |
16.0–20.8% |
15.3–21.6% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
9.3% |
8.2–10.6% |
7.9–11.0% |
7.7–11.3% |
7.2–11.9% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.8% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.4% |
7.2–10.7% |
6.8–11.4% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.1–8.7% |
5.8–9.0% |
5.4–9.6% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.2% |
6.2–8.3% |
6.0–8.6% |
5.7–8.9% |
5.3–9.5% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
6.9% |
6.0–8.0% |
5.7–8.3% |
5.5–8.6% |
5.1–9.2% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
4.8% |
4.1–5.8% |
3.8–6.1% |
3.7–6.3% |
3.3–6.8% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.9–3.5% |
1.8–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.7% |
1.2–2.3% |
1.1–2.5% |
1.0–2.7% |
0.9–3.0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.6% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.6–1.9% |
0.5–2.2% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.2–1.5% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.1–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
90% |
99.9% |
Median |
6 |
10% |
10% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
96% |
98% |
Median |
4 |
2% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
78% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
22% |
22% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
55% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
45% |
45% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.4% |
99.9% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.8% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
76% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
24% |
24% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
4 |
4–5 |
3–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
90% |
99.9% |
Median |
6 |
10% |
10% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
95% |
98% |
Median |
5 |
3% |
3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
55% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
45% |
45% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
78% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
22% |
22% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.8% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 12–18 October 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1018
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.30%