Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 26 October–1 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
30.5% |
28.7–32.4% |
28.2–32.9% |
27.7–33.4% |
26.9–34.3% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
19.4% |
17.9–21.1% |
17.5–21.5% |
17.1–21.9% |
16.4–22.8% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
9.9% |
8.8–11.2% |
8.5–11.6% |
8.2–11.9% |
7.7–12.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.8% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.4% |
7.2–10.7% |
6.8–11.3% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.4% |
6.5–8.6% |
6.2–8.9% |
6.0–9.2% |
5.5–9.8% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
6.1% |
5.2–7.1% |
5.0–7.5% |
4.8–7.7% |
4.4–8.3% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.7% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.1–7.8% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.0% |
4.0–6.3% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.5–7.0% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.8–3.4% |
1.7–3.6% |
1.4–4.0% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.7% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.2–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
5 |
57% |
99.4% |
Median |
6 |
43% |
43% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
91% |
99.9% |
Median |
4 |
9% |
9% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
50% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
50% |
50% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
38% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
62% |
62% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
33% |
100% |
|
1 |
67% |
67% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
34% |
100% |
|
1 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–5 |
3–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
5 |
57% |
99.4% |
Median |
6 |
43% |
43% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
28% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
68% |
72% |
Median |
5 |
4% |
4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
50% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
50% |
50% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
34% |
100% |
|
1 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26 October–1 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1021
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.62%