Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 2–7 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
32.5% |
30.7–34.4% |
30.1–34.9% |
29.7–35.4% |
28.8–36.4% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
18.5% |
17.0–20.1% |
16.6–20.6% |
16.2–21.0% |
15.5–21.8% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
9.5% |
8.4–10.8% |
8.1–11.2% |
7.9–11.5% |
7.4–12.1% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.3% |
7.3–9.5% |
7.0–9.8% |
6.7–10.1% |
6.3–10.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.8% |
6.8–9.0% |
6.5–9.3% |
6.3–9.6% |
5.9–10.2% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
5.8% |
5.0–6.9% |
4.8–7.2% |
4.6–7.5% |
4.2–8.0% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.7–7.1% |
4.5–7.3% |
4.1–7.9% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.6% |
3.8–5.5% |
3.6–5.8% |
3.4–6.0% |
3.1–6.5% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.6% |
2.1–3.8% |
2.0–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.2% |
1.7–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.3% |
1.3–3.7% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.2–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
3% |
100% |
|
6 |
95% |
97% |
Median |
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
98.7% |
99.8% |
Median |
4 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
94% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
6% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.4% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.6% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
6 |
0% |
6 |
6 |
5–6 |
5–7 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
3 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
3% |
100% |
|
6 |
95% |
97% |
Median |
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
96% |
99.9% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
4% |
4% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
94% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
6% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.4% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.6% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 2–7 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1028
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.91%