Opinion Poll by Gallup, 6–12 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
29.2% |
27.8–30.7% |
27.4–31.1% |
27.1–31.4% |
26.4–32.2% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
18.4% |
17.2–19.7% |
16.9–20.0% |
16.6–20.3% |
16.0–21.0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
9.8% |
8.9–10.8% |
8.7–11.1% |
8.5–11.3% |
8.0–11.8% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
8.9% |
8.0–9.9% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.6–10.4% |
7.2–10.8% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.4% |
6.6–8.3% |
6.4–8.5% |
6.2–8.8% |
5.9–9.2% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.4% |
6.6–8.3% |
6.4–8.5% |
6.2–8.8% |
5.9–9.2% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
6.3% |
5.6–7.1% |
5.4–7.4% |
5.2–7.6% |
4.9–8.0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
5.6% |
4.9–6.4% |
4.7–6.6% |
4.6–6.8% |
4.3–7.2% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.3% |
2.1–3.5% |
2.0–3.6% |
1.8–3.9% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.3% |
1.3–2.4% |
1.3–2.6% |
1.1–2.8% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.1% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–0.9% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.3–1.1% |
0.3–1.3% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–0.9% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.3–1.1% |
0.3–1.3% |
Borgerlisten (*) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
5 |
97% |
99.1% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
49% |
100% |
|
4 |
51% |
51% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
68% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
32% |
32% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.8% |
98.8% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
83% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
17% |
17% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Borgerlisten (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgerlisten (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
3–5 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Veganerpartiet () – Borgerlisten () |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
5 |
97% |
99.1% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
1.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
48% |
98.8% |
|
5 |
51% |
51% |
Median |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
68% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
32% |
32% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Veganerpartiet () – Borgerlisten ()
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
83% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
17% |
17% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Gallup
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 6–12 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1664
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.76%