Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 4–7 December 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
32.9% |
31.3–34.7% |
30.8–35.2% |
30.4–35.6% |
29.6–36.4% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
14.1% |
12.9–15.5% |
12.6–15.9% |
12.3–16.2% |
11.8–16.9% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
10.3% |
9.3–11.5% |
9.0–11.8% |
8.7–12.1% |
8.3–12.7% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
8.6% |
7.7–9.7% |
7.4–10.1% |
7.2–10.3% |
6.8–10.9% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.4% |
6.6–8.5% |
6.3–8.8% |
6.1–9.0% |
5.7–9.6% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.4% |
6.6–8.5% |
6.3–8.8% |
6.1–9.0% |
5.7–9.6% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
6.5% |
5.7–7.5% |
5.4–7.7% |
5.2–8.0% |
4.9–8.5% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.2% |
4.5–6.1% |
4.3–6.4% |
4.1–6.6% |
3.8–7.0% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
3.0% |
2.5–3.8% |
2.3–4.0% |
2.2–4.1% |
2.0–4.5% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.4% |
1.0–1.9% |
0.9–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.7–2.5% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
1.3% |
0.9–1.8% |
0.9–1.9% |
0.8–2.1% |
0.7–2.3% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.1% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.3–1.6% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
15% |
100% |
|
6 |
84% |
85% |
Median |
7 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
79% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
21% |
21% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
54% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
46% |
46% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.6% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
|
1 |
94% |
94% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
47% |
100% |
|
1 |
53% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
6 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–7 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–4 |
2–4 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
15% |
100% |
|
6 |
84% |
85% |
Median |
7 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
29% |
100% |
|
3 |
68% |
71% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
3% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
54% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
46% |
46% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
|
1 |
94% |
94% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): B.T.
- Fieldwork period: 4–7 December 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1251
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.72%