Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 15–18 January 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
33.3% |
31.7–35.1% |
31.2–35.6% |
30.8–36.0% |
30.0–36.9% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
12.9% |
11.8–14.2% |
11.4–14.6% |
11.1–14.9% |
10.6–15.5% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
11.8% |
10.7–13.0% |
10.4–13.4% |
10.1–13.7% |
9.6–14.3% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
9.2% |
8.2–10.3% |
8.0–10.7% |
7.7–11.0% |
7.3–11.5% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
8.0% |
7.1–9.1% |
6.8–9.4% |
6.6–9.7% |
6.2–10.2% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.1% |
6.2–8.1% |
6.0–8.4% |
5.8–8.6% |
5.4–9.1% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
6.7% |
5.8–7.7% |
5.6–7.9% |
5.4–8.2% |
5.0–8.7% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.7% |
4.0–5.6% |
3.8–5.8% |
3.7–6.1% |
3.4–6.5% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.5% |
2.1–3.7% |
2.0–3.9% |
1.8–4.3% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.9% |
1.5–2.5% |
1.4–2.7% |
1.3–2.9% |
1.1–3.2% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.3% |
0.5–1.5% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.4–1.8% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.1% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.3–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
3% |
100% |
|
6 |
96% |
97% |
Median |
7 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.8% |
98.8% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
6 |
0% |
6 |
6 |
5–6 |
5–7 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
3% |
100% |
|
6 |
96% |
97% |
Median |
7 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
5% |
5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.8% |
98.8% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): B.T.
- Fieldwork period: 15–18 January 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1248
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.64%