Opinion Poll by Electica for Alliancen, 1–14 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
32.6% |
31.6–33.5% |
31.4–33.8% |
31.2–34.0% |
30.7–34.5% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
12.6% |
11.9–13.3% |
11.8–13.5% |
11.6–13.6% |
11.3–14.0% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
11.0% |
10.4–11.6% |
10.2–11.8% |
10.1–12.0% |
9.8–12.3% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
9.8% |
9.2–10.4% |
9.1–10.6% |
8.9–10.7% |
8.6–11.0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.7% |
7.2–8.2% |
7.0–8.4% |
6.9–8.6% |
6.7–8.8% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
7.6% |
7.1–8.2% |
6.9–8.3% |
6.8–8.4% |
6.6–8.7% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.2% |
6.7–7.7% |
6.6–7.9% |
6.4–8.0% |
6.2–8.3% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.0% |
3.6–4.4% |
3.5–4.5% |
3.4–4.6% |
3.3–4.8% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.8% |
2.5–3.2% |
2.4–3.3% |
2.3–3.4% |
2.2–3.5% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.4% |
1.2–1.7% |
1.1–1.8% |
1.1–1.8% |
1.0–2.0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.8–1.2% |
0.8–1.3% |
0.7–1.3% |
0.7–1.5% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.7–1.1% |
0.7–1.2% |
0.6–1.2% |
0.6–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
6 |
99.5% |
99.6% |
Median |
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
6 |
0% |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1–2 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
6 |
99.5% |
99.6% |
Median |
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Electica
- Commissioner(s): Alliancen
- Fieldwork period: 1–14 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 4138
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.75%