Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 1–6 March 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
32.4% |
30.6–34.3% |
30.0–34.9% |
29.6–35.3% |
28.7–36.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
14.0% |
12.7–15.5% |
12.3–15.9% |
12.0–16.3% |
11.4–17.0% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
12.3% |
11.0–13.7% |
10.7–14.1% |
10.4–14.4% |
9.8–15.1% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
8.7% |
7.6–9.9% |
7.3–10.2% |
7.1–10.5% |
6.6–11.2% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.4% |
7.3–9.6% |
7.1–9.9% |
6.8–10.2% |
6.4–10.8% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.1% |
7.1–9.3% |
6.8–9.6% |
6.6–9.9% |
6.1–10.5% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.2% |
4.0–7.8% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.1–6.3% |
3.9–6.6% |
3.5–7.1% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
2.1% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
1.9% |
1.5–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.1–3.4% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
17% |
100% |
|
6 |
81% |
83% |
Median |
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
94% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
6% |
6% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
8% |
100% |
|
2 |
91% |
92% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
5% |
5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.1% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
24% |
100% |
|
1 |
76% |
76% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
69% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
31% |
31% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
6 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–7 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
1–3 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
17% |
100% |
|
6 |
81% |
83% |
Median |
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
94% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
6% |
6% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
2 |
75% |
99.5% |
Median |
3 |
24% |
24% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
5% |
5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.1% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
24% |
100% |
|
1 |
76% |
76% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1–6 March 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1028
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.66%