Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 22–28 March 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
33.4% |
31.5–35.3% |
31.0–35.8% |
30.5–36.3% |
29.7–37.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
14.4% |
13.0–15.9% |
12.7–16.3% |
12.3–16.6% |
11.7–17.4% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
11.2% |
10.0–12.5% |
9.6–12.9% |
9.4–13.2% |
8.8–13.9% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
8.9% |
7.9–10.2% |
7.6–10.5% |
7.3–10.8% |
6.9–11.4% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.1% |
6.7–9.5% |
6.4–9.8% |
6.0–10.4% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.5% |
6.5–8.6% |
6.2–9.0% |
6.0–9.3% |
5.6–9.8% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
5.9% |
5.1–7.0% |
4.8–7.3% |
4.6–7.5% |
4.3–8.1% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.0% |
4.3–6.0% |
4.0–6.3% |
3.9–6.6% |
3.5–7.1% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.8–3.4% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.4–3.9% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.4% |
1.2–2.6% |
1.1–2.7% |
0.9–3.1% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.1% |
0.7–1.6% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.6–1.9% |
0.5–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
21% |
100% |
|
6 |
77% |
79% |
Median |
7 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
91% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
9% |
9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
24% |
100% |
|
2 |
76% |
76% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
90% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
10% |
10% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
13% |
100% |
|
1 |
87% |
87% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
63% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
37% |
37% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
6 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–7 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
2 |
0% |
1–3 |
1–3 |
1–3 |
1–3 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
21% |
100% |
|
6 |
77% |
79% |
Median |
7 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
91% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
9% |
9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
11% |
100% |
|
2 |
65% |
89% |
Median |
3 |
24% |
24% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
90% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
10% |
10% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
13% |
100% |
|
1 |
87% |
87% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22–28 March 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1031
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.48%