Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 29 March–4 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 19.1% 30.9% 29.1–32.8% 28.6–33.4% 28.2–33.8% 27.3–34.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 9.1% 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.0% 13.9–18.4% 13.2–19.1%
Venstre (RE) 16.7% 12.7% 11.4–14.1% 11.1–14.5% 10.7–14.8% 10.2–15.6%
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0.0% 8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.7–11.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 10.9% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.7% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.7–10.0%
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 26.6% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 6.5% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Liberal Alliance (RE) 2.9% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.5%
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 3 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 1 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) 2 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 1 1 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 4 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Liberal Alliance (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0.6% 100%  
5 73% 99.4% Median
6 26% 26%  
7 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 42% 100%  
3 58% 58% Median
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100%  
2 97% 97% Last Result, Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 99.4% 99.6% Last Result, Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 99.8% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (ID)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100%  
1 65% 65% Median
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100%  
1 52% 52% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 3 5 0% 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 1 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) 3 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–3
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 1 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 4 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0.6% 100%  
5 73% 99.4% Median
6 26% 26%  
7 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 42% 100%  
3 58% 58% Median
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.6% 100%  
2 50% 99.4%  
3 50% 50% Last Result, Median
4 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 99.4% 99.6% Last Result, Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 99.8% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (ID)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100%  
1 65% 65% Median
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations