Opinion Poll by Epinion, 11–19 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
28.6% |
27.2–30.1% |
26.8–30.5% |
26.4–30.9% |
25.7–31.6% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
15.9% |
14.8–17.2% |
14.4–17.5% |
14.2–17.8% |
13.6–18.4% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
12.3% |
11.3–13.4% |
11.0–13.8% |
10.8–14.0% |
10.3–14.6% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.7% |
7.8–9.7% |
7.6–10.0% |
7.4–10.2% |
7.0–10.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.1% |
7.3–9.1% |
7.1–9.4% |
6.9–9.6% |
6.5–10.1% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
6.6% |
5.8–7.5% |
5.6–7.7% |
5.4–7.9% |
5.1–8.4% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
6.3% |
5.6–7.2% |
5.4–7.4% |
5.2–7.7% |
4.9–8.1% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.5% |
4.8–6.3% |
4.6–6.5% |
4.5–6.7% |
4.1–7.1% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.2% |
1.8–2.8% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.6–3.0% |
1.4–3.3% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
2.2% |
1.8–2.8% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.6–3.0% |
1.4–3.3% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.5% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–0.9% |
0.3–1.0% |
0.3–1.1% |
0.2–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
6% |
100% |
|
5 |
91% |
94% |
Median |
6 |
3% |
3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
55% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
45% |
45% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
4% |
100% |
|
2 |
96% |
96% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
29% |
100% |
|
1 |
71% |
71% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
4–5 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
6% |
100% |
|
5 |
91% |
94% |
Median |
6 |
3% |
3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
55% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
45% |
45% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
33% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
67% |
67% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–19 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1552
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.60%