Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 17–23 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
31.0% |
29.1–32.9% |
28.6–33.4% |
28.2–33.9% |
27.3–34.8% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
14.2% |
12.9–15.7% |
12.5–16.2% |
12.2–16.5% |
11.6–17.3% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
11.4% |
10.2–12.8% |
9.8–13.1% |
9.6–13.5% |
9.0–14.2% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
9.0% |
7.9–10.3% |
7.6–10.6% |
7.4–10.9% |
6.9–11.6% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.6% |
6.5–9.9% |
6.0–10.5% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
7.7% |
6.7–8.9% |
6.5–9.2% |
6.2–9.5% |
5.8–10.1% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
5.5% |
4.7–6.6% |
4.5–6.9% |
4.3–7.1% |
3.9–7.7% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.5% |
4.7–6.6% |
4.5–6.9% |
4.3–7.1% |
3.9–7.7% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.2% |
1.8–3.4% |
1.7–3.6% |
1.5–4.0% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.8% |
1.3–2.4% |
1.2–2.6% |
1.1–2.8% |
0.9–3.2% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.5–1.7% |
0.4–2.0% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
61% |
100% |
Median |
6 |
39% |
39% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
75% |
99.7% |
Median |
3 |
25% |
25% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
8% |
100% |
|
2 |
92% |
92% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.3% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.6% |
99.8% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
34% |
100% |
|
1 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
24% |
100% |
|
1 |
76% |
76% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
1–3 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
61% |
100% |
Median |
6 |
39% |
39% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
75% |
99.7% |
Median |
3 |
25% |
25% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
2 |
31% |
99.3% |
|
3 |
68% |
68% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.3% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.6% |
99.8% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
34% |
100% |
|
1 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 17–23 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1011
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.30%