Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 4–6 June 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
33.3% |
31.6–35.0% |
31.1–35.5% |
30.7–35.9% |
29.9–36.7% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
14.0% |
12.8–15.3% |
12.5–15.7% |
12.2–16.0% |
11.7–16.7% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
11.6% |
10.5–12.8% |
10.2–13.1% |
9.9–13.4% |
9.4–14.1% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
8.8% |
7.8–9.9% |
7.6–10.2% |
7.3–10.5% |
6.9–11.0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.1% |
7.2–9.1% |
6.9–9.4% |
6.7–9.7% |
6.3–10.3% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.0% |
7.1–9.1% |
6.8–9.4% |
6.6–9.6% |
6.2–10.2% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
7.3% |
6.4–8.3% |
6.2–8.6% |
6.0–8.9% |
5.6–9.4% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
3.9% |
3.3–4.7% |
3.1–4.9% |
2.9–5.1% |
2.7–5.5% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.6% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
1.9–3.7% |
1.6–4.0% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.7% |
0.8–1.8% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.6–2.2% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.3–1.6% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.2–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
5% |
100% |
|
6 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
7 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
91% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
9% |
9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
9% |
100% |
|
2 |
91% |
91% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
6 |
0% |
6 |
6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–3 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
5% |
100% |
|
6 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
7 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
91% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
9% |
9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
9% |
100% |
|
2 |
89% |
91% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): B.T.
- Fieldwork period: 4–6 June 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1263
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.42%