Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 7–12 June 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
29.3% |
27.5–31.2% |
27.0–31.7% |
26.6–32.2% |
25.8–33.1% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
13.9% |
12.6–15.4% |
12.2–15.8% |
11.9–16.1% |
11.3–16.9% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
13.6% |
12.3–15.1% |
11.9–15.5% |
11.6–15.8% |
11.0–16.6% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.7% |
7.7–10.0% |
7.4–10.3% |
7.2–10.6% |
6.7–11.2% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.8% |
7.2–10.1% |
7.0–10.4% |
6.5–11.0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.3–7.8% |
5.1–8.1% |
4.7–8.6% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.3–7.8% |
5.1–8.1% |
4.7–8.6% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.2% |
4.0–7.7% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.4% |
1.4–3.8% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.3% |
0.9–1.8% |
0.8–2.0% |
0.7–2.1% |
0.6–2.5% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.6–1.6% |
0.5–1.8% |
0.4–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
4% |
100% |
|
5 |
88% |
96% |
Median |
6 |
8% |
8% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
94% |
99.9% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
6% |
6% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
14% |
100% |
|
1 |
86% |
86% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5–6 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
4% |
100% |
|
5 |
88% |
96% |
Median |
6 |
8% |
8% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
9% |
100% |
|
3 |
90% |
91% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 7–12 June 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1030
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.98%