Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 23–29 August 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
28.4% |
26.7–30.3% |
26.2–30.8% |
25.7–31.3% |
24.9–32.2% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
15.1% |
13.7–16.6% |
13.4–17.1% |
13.0–17.5% |
12.4–18.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
13.9% |
12.6–15.4% |
12.2–15.8% |
11.9–16.2% |
11.3–16.9% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
9.3% |
8.3–10.6% |
8.0–11.0% |
7.7–11.3% |
7.2–11.9% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.8% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.5% |
7.2–10.8% |
6.8–11.4% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
5.8% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.7–7.1% |
4.5–7.4% |
4.1–7.9% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
5.6% |
4.7–6.6% |
4.5–6.9% |
4.3–7.2% |
3.9–7.7% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.6% |
4.7–6.6% |
4.5–6.9% |
4.3–7.2% |
3.9–7.7% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.1–3.9% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.8–4.5% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.2–2.7% |
1.1–2.8% |
1.0–3.2% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.3–1.1% |
0.2–1.2% |
0.2–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
4% |
100% |
|
5 |
92% |
96% |
Median |
6 |
4% |
4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
82% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
18% |
18% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
96% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
4% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
90% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
10% |
10% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
93% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
7% |
7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
11% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
89% |
89% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
13% |
100% |
|
1 |
87% |
87% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
16% |
100% |
|
1 |
84% |
84% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3–4 |
2–4 |
2–4 |
2–4 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
4% |
100% |
|
5 |
92% |
96% |
Median |
6 |
4% |
4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
9% |
100% |
|
3 |
80% |
91% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
11% |
11% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
96% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
4% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
93% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
7% |
7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
90% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
10% |
10% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
13% |
100% |
|
1 |
87% |
87% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
11% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
89% |
89% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 23–29 August 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1006
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.78%