Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 10–12 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
31.0% |
29.4–32.7% |
28.9–33.2% |
28.5–33.6% |
27.7–34.4% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
16.8% |
15.5–18.3% |
15.2–18.7% |
14.9–19.0% |
14.3–19.7% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
10.3% |
9.3–11.5% |
9.0–11.8% |
8.7–12.1% |
8.2–12.7% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
9.8% |
8.8–11.0% |
8.5–11.3% |
8.3–11.6% |
7.8–12.1% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.9% |
7.0–9.0% |
6.8–9.3% |
6.5–9.5% |
6.1–10.1% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.4% |
6.5–8.4% |
6.2–8.7% |
6.0–8.9% |
5.6–9.4% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
7.1% |
6.3–8.1% |
6.0–8.4% |
5.8–8.7% |
5.4–9.2% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.0% |
3.4–4.8% |
3.2–5.1% |
3.1–5.3% |
2.8–5.7% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.2% |
1.8–2.9% |
1.6–3.0% |
1.5–3.2% |
1.3–3.5% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.2% |
1.2–2.4% |
1.1–2.5% |
0.9–2.8% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.7% |
0.8–1.8% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.6–2.2% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.2–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
6 |
6% |
6% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
5% |
100% |
|
3 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
64% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
36% |
36% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
92% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
8% |
8% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.5% |
99.5% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
46% |
100% |
|
1 |
54% |
54% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
6 |
6% |
6% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
5% |
100% |
|
3 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
10% |
100% |
|
2 |
90% |
90% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
92% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
8% |
8% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.5% |
99.5% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): B.T.
- Fieldwork period: 10–12 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1265
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.30%