Opinion Poll by Gallup, 3 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
27.3% |
25.9–28.8% |
25.6–29.2% |
25.2–29.5% |
24.6–30.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
14.3% |
13.3–15.5% |
13.0–15.8% |
12.7–16.1% |
12.2–16.7% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
13.2% |
12.2–14.3% |
11.9–14.6% |
11.6–14.9% |
11.2–15.5% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.7% |
7.9–9.7% |
7.7–10.0% |
7.5–10.2% |
7.1–10.7% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.3% |
7.5–9.2% |
7.3–9.5% |
7.1–9.7% |
6.7–10.2% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
6.9% |
6.2–7.8% |
6.0–8.0% |
5.8–8.2% |
5.5–8.7% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
6.1% |
5.4–6.9% |
5.2–7.1% |
5.0–7.3% |
4.7–7.7% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
5.6% |
4.9–6.4% |
4.7–6.6% |
4.6–6.8% |
4.3–7.2% |
Moderaterne (*) |
0.0% |
3.5% |
3.0–4.1% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.7–4.5% |
2.5–4.8% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
2.5% |
2.1–3.1% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.9–3.4% |
1.7–3.7% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
1.9% |
1.6–2.4% |
1.4–2.6% |
1.4–2.7% |
1.2–3.0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–0.9% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.3–1.1% |
0.3–1.3% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.1–0.3% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
8% |
100% |
|
5 |
91% |
92% |
Median |
6 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
92% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
8% |
8% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
98.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
96% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
98% |
98% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2–4 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
8% |
100% |
|
5 |
91% |
92% |
Median |
6 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
3 |
98% |
99.0% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
92% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
8% |
8% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
96% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Gallup
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 3 October 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1662
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.29%