Opinion Poll by Epinion, 14–21 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
28.0% |
26.6–29.5% |
26.2–29.9% |
25.9–30.3% |
25.2–31.0% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
15.9% |
14.8–17.1% |
14.5–17.5% |
14.2–17.8% |
13.7–18.4% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
13.5% |
12.5–14.7% |
12.2–15.0% |
11.9–15.3% |
11.5–15.8% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.0% |
7.2–8.9% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.8–9.4% |
6.4–9.9% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.0% |
7.2–8.9% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.8–9.4% |
6.4–9.9% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
6.0% |
5.3–6.8% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.9–7.3% |
4.6–7.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
5.9% |
5.2–6.7% |
5.0–6.9% |
4.8–7.1% |
4.5–7.5% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
5.8% |
5.1–6.6% |
4.9–6.9% |
4.8–7.1% |
4.5–7.5% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.9% |
2.4–3.5% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.2–3.8% |
2.0–4.1% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.5% |
1.2–2.0% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.5% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.4% |
1.1–1.9% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.1% |
0.8–2.3% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.3–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
12% |
100% |
|
5 |
87% |
88% |
Median |
6 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
18% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
82% |
82% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
99.5% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
|
1 |
94% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
|
1 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
60% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
40% |
40% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
12% |
100% |
|
5 |
87% |
88% |
Median |
6 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
3 |
23% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
4 |
77% |
77% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
99.5% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
|
1 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
60% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
40% |
40% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 14–21 October 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1634
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.94%