Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 22–28 November 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
26.0% |
24.2–27.8% |
23.8–28.3% |
23.4–28.8% |
22.5–29.7% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
17.0% |
15.6–18.6% |
15.2–19.1% |
14.8–19.5% |
14.1–20.3% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
15.1% |
13.7–16.7% |
13.4–17.1% |
13.0–17.5% |
12.4–18.2% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
9.7% |
8.6–11.0% |
8.2–11.3% |
8.0–11.6% |
7.5–12.3% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.9% |
6.9–9.1% |
6.6–9.4% |
6.4–9.7% |
5.9–10.3% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
6.2% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.0–7.6% |
4.8–7.8% |
4.5–8.4% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.7% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.0–7.8% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
5.5% |
4.6–6.5% |
4.4–6.8% |
4.2–7.1% |
3.9–7.6% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.0% |
2.4–4.3% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.0–4.9% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.6% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.6–2.0% |
0.5–2.3% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.5–1.7% |
0.4–2.0% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.1–1.2% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
60% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
40% |
40% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
63% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
37% |
37% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.6% |
99.6% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
38% |
100% |
|
1 |
62% |
62% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
40% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
60% |
60% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
60% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
40% |
40% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
39% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
4 |
60% |
60% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
63% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
37% |
37% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.6% |
99.6% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
40% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
60% |
60% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22–28 November 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1005
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.43%