Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 13–20 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
25.4% |
24.3–26.6% |
23.9–27.0% |
23.7–27.3% |
23.1–27.8% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
13.4% |
12.5–14.4% |
12.3–14.6% |
12.0–14.9% |
11.6–15.3% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
11.9% |
11.1–12.8% |
10.8–13.1% |
10.6–13.3% |
10.2–13.7% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (*) |
0.0% |
10.8% |
10.0–11.7% |
9.8–11.9% |
9.6–12.1% |
9.2–12.6% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.1% |
7.4–8.9% |
7.2–9.1% |
7.0–9.3% |
6.7–9.7% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.6% |
7.0–8.4% |
6.8–8.6% |
6.6–8.8% |
6.3–9.2% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
5.3% |
4.7–5.9% |
4.6–6.1% |
4.4–6.3% |
4.2–6.6% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.6% |
4.1–5.2% |
3.9–5.4% |
3.8–5.5% |
3.6–5.8% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
4.6% |
4.1–5.2% |
3.9–5.4% |
3.8–5.5% |
3.6–5.8% |
Moderaterne (*) |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.1% |
2.4–4.4% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
1.9% |
1.6–2.3% |
1.5–2.4% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.3–2.8% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.8–1.3% |
0.7–1.4% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.6–1.7% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.7–1.2% |
0.6–1.3% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.5% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.5% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.1–0.8% |
Veganerpartiet (*) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.5% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.1–0.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
78% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
22% |
22% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
14% |
100% |
|
1 |
86% |
86% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Veganerpartiet (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
2–4 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
78% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
22% |
22% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
3 |
22% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
4 |
77% |
77% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): DR
- Fieldwork period: 13–20 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2270
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.11%