Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 3–6 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
27.5% |
25.8–29.3% |
25.3–29.8% |
25.0–30.2% |
24.2–31.1% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
14.6% |
13.3–16.1% |
13.0–16.5% |
12.7–16.9% |
12.1–17.6% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
11.4% |
10.3–12.8% |
10.0–13.1% |
9.7–13.5% |
9.1–14.1% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.3% |
7.3–9.5% |
7.1–9.8% |
6.8–10.1% |
6.4–10.7% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (*) |
0.0% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.1% |
6.7–9.4% |
6.5–9.7% |
6.1–10.3% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.1% |
6.2–8.2% |
6.0–8.5% |
5.7–8.8% |
5.3–9.4% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.6% |
4.6–6.9% |
4.4–7.1% |
4.0–7.6% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.4% |
4.6–6.4% |
4.4–6.7% |
4.2–6.9% |
3.9–7.4% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.6–6.1% |
3.2–6.6% |
Moderaterne (*) |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.4–4.5% |
2.1–4.9% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.4% |
1.2–2.5% |
1.1–2.7% |
0.9–3.0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.7% |
0.8–1.9% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.6–2.3% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
0.8% |
0.6–1.3% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.4–1.6% |
0.3–1.8% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
6% |
100% |
|
5 |
78% |
94% |
Median |
6 |
15% |
15% |
|
7 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
89% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
11% |
11% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
4% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.0% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.3% |
99.3% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
11% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
89% |
89% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
36% |
100% |
|
1 |
64% |
64% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
73% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
27% |
27% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5–6 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
4–7 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–5 |
3–5 |
2–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
6% |
100% |
|
5 |
78% |
94% |
Median |
6 |
15% |
15% |
|
7 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
38% |
98% |
Last Result |
4 |
52% |
60% |
Median |
5 |
7% |
7% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
4% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.3% |
99.3% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
73% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
27% |
27% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 3–6 October 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1094
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.84%