Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 7–9 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
27.1% |
25.4–28.9% |
24.9–29.5% |
24.4–29.9% |
23.6–30.8% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
13.8% |
12.5–15.3% |
12.1–15.7% |
11.8–16.1% |
11.2–16.8% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
9.8% |
8.6–11.1% |
8.3–11.4% |
8.1–11.7% |
7.6–12.4% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (*) |
0.0% |
9.0% |
7.9–10.2% |
7.6–10.6% |
7.4–10.9% |
6.9–11.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.7% |
7.6–9.9% |
7.3–10.3% |
7.1–10.6% |
6.6–11.2% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.7% |
5.8–7.8% |
5.5–8.1% |
5.3–8.4% |
4.9–9.0% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.3% |
4.3–6.6% |
4.1–6.9% |
3.7–7.4% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.0% |
4.0–6.3% |
3.8–6.6% |
3.5–7.1% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
4.9% |
4.1–5.9% |
3.9–6.2% |
3.7–6.4% |
3.4–7.0% |
Moderaterne (*) |
0.0% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.1% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.1–5.5% |
2.8–6.0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.8% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.1–3.4% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.2–1.5% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.2–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
97% |
98% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
90% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
10% |
10% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
21% |
100% |
|
2 |
79% |
79% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.6% |
99.6% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
11% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
89% |
89% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
5% |
5% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
88% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
12% |
12% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
89% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
11% |
11% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
3–4 |
2–4 |
2–5 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
97% |
98% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
5% |
100% |
|
3 |
89% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
4% |
6% |
|
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.6% |
99.6% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
88% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
12% |
12% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 7–9 October 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1015
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.15%