Opinion Poll by Gallup for Berlingske, 12 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
27.4% |
26.1–28.7% |
25.8–29.1% |
25.5–29.4% |
24.9–30.0% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
12.9% |
11.9–13.9% |
11.7–14.2% |
11.5–14.4% |
11.0–14.9% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
9.9% |
9.1–10.8% |
8.9–11.1% |
8.7–11.3% |
8.3–11.8% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.5% |
7.8–9.4% |
7.5–9.6% |
7.4–9.8% |
7.0–10.2% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (*) |
0.0% |
8.0% |
7.3–8.8% |
7.1–9.1% |
6.9–9.3% |
6.6–9.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.1% |
5.5–6.9% |
5.3–7.1% |
5.1–7.3% |
4.8–7.6% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
5.5% |
4.9–6.2% |
4.7–6.4% |
4.6–6.6% |
4.3–7.0% |
Moderaterne (*) |
0.0% |
5.5% |
4.9–6.2% |
4.7–6.4% |
4.6–6.6% |
4.3–7.0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.1% |
4.5–5.8% |
4.4–6.0% |
4.2–6.2% |
3.9–6.5% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
4.5% |
4.0–5.2% |
3.8–5.3% |
3.7–5.5% |
3.4–5.8% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
3.1% |
2.7–3.7% |
2.5–3.8% |
2.4–4.0% |
2.2–4.3% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.6% |
1.3–2.0% |
1.2–2.1% |
1.1–2.3% |
1.0–2.5% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.4% |
1.1–1.8% |
1.0–1.9% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.8–2.2% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.5% |
0.4–0.8% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.2–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
96% |
98.8% |
Median |
6 |
3% |
3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
96% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
4% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
31% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
69% |
69% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.8% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
14% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
86% |
86% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
27% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
73% |
73% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
55% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
45% |
45% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
83% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
17% |
17% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
5–6 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
96% |
98.8% |
Median |
6 |
3% |
3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
65% |
99.7% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
34% |
35% |
|
5 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
31% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
69% |
69% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.8% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
83% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
17% |
17% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Gallup
- Commissioner(s): Berlingske
- Fieldwork period: 12 October 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1998
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.97%