Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 10–12 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
27.5% |
25.7–29.3% |
25.2–29.9% |
24.8–30.3% |
24.0–31.2% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
14.3% |
13.0–15.8% |
12.6–16.2% |
12.3–16.6% |
11.7–17.4% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
8.9% |
7.9–10.2% |
7.6–10.5% |
7.3–10.9% |
6.8–11.5% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (*) |
0.0% |
8.7% |
7.7–10.0% |
7.4–10.3% |
7.1–10.6% |
6.7–11.2% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.9% |
6.9–9.0% |
6.6–9.4% |
6.4–9.7% |
5.9–10.3% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.2% |
6.2–8.3% |
6.0–8.6% |
5.7–8.9% |
5.3–9.5% |
Moderaterne (*) |
0.0% |
6.1% |
5.2–7.2% |
5.0–7.5% |
4.8–7.7% |
4.4–8.3% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.0% |
4.0–6.3% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.5–7.0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.2% |
3.3–5.4% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
2.4% |
1.8–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.8–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
97% |
99.8% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
3% |
3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
10% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
90% |
90% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
12% |
100% |
|
2 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.6% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.8% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.2% |
99.2% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
91% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
9% |
9% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
6% |
6% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–4 |
2–4 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
97% |
99.8% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
88% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
7% |
12% |
Last Result |
4 |
5% |
5% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
10% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
90% |
90% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.6% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 10–12 October 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1019
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.03%