Opinion Poll by Yougov, 15–18 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
30.3% |
28.7–32.0% |
28.3–32.4% |
27.9–32.8% |
27.2–33.6% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
10.6% |
9.6–11.7% |
9.3–12.1% |
9.0–12.3% |
8.6–12.9% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (*) |
0.0% |
8.3% |
7.4–9.3% |
7.1–9.6% |
6.9–9.9% |
6.5–10.4% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
8.0% |
7.1–9.0% |
6.8–9.3% |
6.6–9.5% |
6.2–10.1% |
Moderaterne (*) |
0.0% |
7.9% |
7.0–8.9% |
6.8–9.2% |
6.6–9.5% |
6.2–10.0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.2% |
6.4–8.2% |
6.2–8.5% |
5.9–8.7% |
5.6–9.2% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
6.8% |
6.0–7.7% |
5.7–8.0% |
5.5–8.3% |
5.2–8.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
5.3% |
4.6–6.2% |
4.4–6.4% |
4.2–6.6% |
3.9–7.1% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
5.1% |
4.4–5.9% |
4.2–6.2% |
4.0–6.4% |
3.7–6.8% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
3.1% |
2.6–3.8% |
2.4–4.0% |
2.3–4.2% |
2.1–4.6% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.5% |
2.2–3.7% |
2.1–3.9% |
1.8–4.2% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.3% |
1.9–2.9% |
1.7–3.1% |
1.6–3.3% |
1.4–3.6% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
1.6% |
1.2–2.1% |
1.1–2.3% |
1.0–2.4% |
0.9–2.7% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.3–1.0% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.2–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
13% |
100% |
|
6 |
83% |
87% |
Median |
7 |
4% |
4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
5% |
100% |
|
2 |
95% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.2% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.6% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
70% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
30% |
30% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
18% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
82% |
82% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
6 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–7 |
5–7 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
13% |
100% |
|
6 |
83% |
87% |
Median |
7 |
4% |
4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
5% |
100% |
|
3 |
94% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.2% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
70% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
30% |
30% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
18% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
82% |
82% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Yougov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15–18 October 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1343
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.19%