Opinion Poll by Gallup for Berlingske, 31 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
26.2% |
25.4–27.1% |
25.1–27.3% |
24.9–27.5% |
24.5–27.9% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
13.7% |
13.0–14.4% |
12.9–14.6% |
12.7–14.7% |
12.4–15.1% |
Moderaterne (*) |
0.0% |
8.8% |
8.3–9.4% |
8.1–9.5% |
8.0–9.7% |
7.8–10.0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.7% |
8.2–9.3% |
8.0–9.4% |
7.9–9.6% |
7.7–9.8% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
7.3% |
6.8–7.8% |
6.7–8.0% |
6.6–8.1% |
6.3–8.4% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (*) |
0.0% |
7.0% |
6.5–7.5% |
6.4–7.7% |
6.3–7.8% |
6.1–8.0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.3% |
5.8–6.8% |
5.7–6.9% |
5.6–7.0% |
5.4–7.3% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
6.0% |
5.6–6.5% |
5.4–6.6% |
5.3–6.7% |
5.1–7.0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.4% |
4.0–4.8% |
3.9–4.9% |
3.8–5.0% |
3.7–5.2% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
4.3% |
3.9–4.7% |
3.8–4.8% |
3.7–5.0% |
3.6–5.2% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
3.2% |
2.9–3.6% |
2.8–3.7% |
2.7–3.7% |
2.6–3.9% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
2.9% |
2.6–3.3% |
2.5–3.4% |
2.4–3.4% |
2.3–3.6% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.7–1.1% |
0.7–1.2% |
0.7–1.2% |
0.6–1.3% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.4% |
0.2–0.5% |
0.2–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
5 |
92% |
99.6% |
Median |
6 |
8% |
8% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
91% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
9% |
9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
88% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
12% |
12% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
78% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
22% |
22% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Danmarksdemokraterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
71% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
29% |
29% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
79% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
21% |
21% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
5 |
92% |
99.6% |
Median |
6 |
8% |
8% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
62% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
38% |
38% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
78% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
22% |
22% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
79% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
21% |
21% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Gallup
- Commissioner(s): Berlingske
- Fieldwork period: 31 October 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 4483
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.89%