Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 21–27 November 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
28.0% |
26.2–29.9% |
25.7–30.4% |
25.3–30.8% |
24.5–31.8% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
13.1% |
11.9–14.6% |
11.5–15.0% |
11.2–15.4% |
10.6–16.1% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
9.3% |
8.2–10.5% |
7.9–10.9% |
7.6–11.2% |
7.1–11.9% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
8.9% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.5% |
7.3–10.8% |
6.8–11.4% |
Moderaterne (*) |
0.0% |
8.4% |
7.3–9.6% |
7.0–9.9% |
6.8–10.3% |
6.3–10.9% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (*) |
0.0% |
7.6% |
6.6–8.7% |
6.3–9.1% |
6.1–9.4% |
5.7–10.0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
5.7% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.0–7.8% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.5% |
4.6–6.5% |
4.4–6.8% |
4.2–7.1% |
3.9–7.6% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.8–4.8% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.4–5.5% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
3.5% |
2.9–4.4% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.2–5.3% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.1% |
2.2–4.4% |
1.9–4.8% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.5% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.8–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
5 |
70% |
99.3% |
Median |
6 |
29% |
29% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
68% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
32% |
32% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
60% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
40% |
40% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
83% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
17% |
17% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
7% |
7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
27% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
73% |
73% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
13% |
100% |
|
1 |
87% |
87% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
6% |
6% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
96% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
4% |
4% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
5 |
70% |
99.3% |
Median |
6 |
29% |
29% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
47% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
51% |
53% |
|
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
58% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
42% |
42% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
27% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
73% |
73% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
96% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
4% |
4% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 21–27 November 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1004
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.26%