Opinion Poll by Gallup for Berlingske, 25 November–1 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
27.9% |
26.5–29.4% |
26.1–29.8% |
25.8–30.2% |
25.1–30.9% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
14.2% |
13.1–15.4% |
12.8–15.8% |
12.6–16.0% |
12.1–16.6% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
9.0% |
8.1–10.0% |
7.8–10.2% |
7.7–10.5% |
7.3–11.0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.8% |
7.9–9.8% |
7.7–10.0% |
7.5–10.3% |
7.1–10.8% |
Moderaterne (*) |
0.0% |
8.1% |
7.2–9.0% |
7.0–9.3% |
6.8–9.5% |
6.4–10.0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (*) |
0.0% |
7.5% |
6.7–8.4% |
6.5–8.7% |
6.3–8.9% |
5.9–9.4% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
5.9% |
5.2–6.7% |
5.0–7.0% |
4.8–7.2% |
4.5–7.6% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
4.8% |
4.2–5.6% |
4.0–5.8% |
3.8–6.0% |
3.6–6.4% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
3.7% |
3.2–4.4% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.6–5.1% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
3.3% |
2.8–4.0% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.3–4.7% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
3.2% |
2.7–3.9% |
2.5–4.0% |
2.4–4.2% |
2.2–4.5% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
2.9% |
2.4–3.5% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.1–3.8% |
2.0–4.2% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
87% |
99.9% |
Median |
6 |
13% |
13% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
82% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
18% |
18% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
30% |
100% |
|
2 |
70% |
70% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
91% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
9% |
9% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
6% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
16% |
100% |
|
1 |
84% |
84% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.2% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
87% |
99.9% |
Median |
6 |
13% |
13% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
13% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
86% |
87% |
Median |
5 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
91% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
9% |
9% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.2% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Gallup
- Commissioner(s): Berlingske
- Fieldwork period: 25 November–1 December 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1561
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.94%