Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 12–18 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
27.0% |
25.8–28.3% |
25.5–28.6% |
25.2–28.9% |
24.6–29.5% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
10.6% |
9.8–11.5% |
9.6–11.8% |
9.4–12.0% |
9.0–12.4% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
10.4% |
9.6–11.3% |
9.4–11.5% |
9.2–11.8% |
8.8–12.2% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
9.6% |
8.8–10.5% |
8.6–10.7% |
8.4–10.9% |
8.1–11.4% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
9.4% |
8.7–10.3% |
8.4–10.5% |
8.2–10.7% |
7.9–11.2% |
Moderaterne (NI) |
0.0% |
9.3% |
8.5–10.1% |
8.3–10.4% |
8.1–10.6% |
7.8–11.0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.5% |
5.9–7.2% |
5.7–7.5% |
5.5–7.6% |
5.2–8.0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
4.3% |
3.8–4.9% |
3.6–5.1% |
3.5–5.2% |
3.3–5.5% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
3.8% |
3.3–4.4% |
3.2–4.5% |
3.0–4.7% |
2.8–5.0% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
3.8% |
3.3–4.4% |
3.2–4.5% |
3.0–4.7% |
2.8–5.0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
2.5% |
2.1–3.0% |
2.0–3.1% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.7–3.5% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
2.0–2.9% |
1.9–3.0% |
1.8–3.1% |
1.7–3.4% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
97% |
98.9% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
66% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
34% |
34% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
25% |
100% |
|
2 |
75% |
75% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
50% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
50% |
50% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
57% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
43% |
43% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.5% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Moderaterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
2–3 |
2–4 |
2–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
97% |
98.9% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
91% |
99.7% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
9% |
9% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Moderaterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
10% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
87% |
90% |
|
4 |
3% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): DR
- Fieldwork period: 12–18 December 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2166
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.74%