Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 12–18 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
26.7% |
25.0–28.6% |
24.5–29.1% |
24.1–29.6% |
23.3–30.5% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
11.3% |
10.1–12.7% |
9.7–13.0% |
9.4–13.4% |
8.9–14.1% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
10.1% |
8.9–11.4% |
8.6–11.8% |
8.4–12.1% |
7.8–12.8% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
9.3% |
8.2–10.5% |
7.9–10.9% |
7.6–11.2% |
7.1–11.9% |
Moderaterne (*) |
0.0% |
8.8% |
7.7–10.0% |
7.4–10.4% |
7.2–10.7% |
6.7–11.3% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (*) |
0.0% |
8.7% |
7.6–9.9% |
7.3–10.3% |
7.1–10.6% |
6.6–11.2% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.6% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.4–8.0% |
5.2–8.3% |
4.8–8.9% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.4% |
5.2–7.7% |
4.9–8.0% |
4.5–8.5% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.0% |
2.4–4.3% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.0–4.9% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.0% |
2.4–4.3% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.0–4.9% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.8–4.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.2% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
3% |
100% |
|
5 |
93% |
97% |
Median |
6 |
4% |
4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
29% |
100% |
|
2 |
70% |
71% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
55% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
45% |
45% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
60% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
40% |
40% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
64% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
36% |
36% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
6% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.7% |
98.7% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.5% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.1% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
2–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
3% |
100% |
|
5 |
93% |
97% |
Median |
6 |
4% |
4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
84% |
98% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
14% |
14% |
|
5 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
55% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
45% |
45% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.1% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 12–18 December 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.98%