Opinion Poll by Gallup for Berlingske, 27 January–2 February 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
23.1% |
21.8–24.5% |
21.4–24.9% |
21.1–25.2% |
20.5–25.9% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
12.8% |
11.8–13.9% |
11.5–14.2% |
11.3–14.5% |
10.8–15.1% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
11.5% |
10.6–12.6% |
10.3–12.9% |
10.1–13.2% |
9.6–13.7% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
11.1% |
10.2–12.2% |
9.9–12.5% |
9.7–12.7% |
9.2–13.2% |
Moderaterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.4% |
7.6–9.4% |
7.4–9.6% |
7.2–9.9% |
6.8–10.3% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.3% |
7.5–9.2% |
7.2–9.5% |
7.0–9.7% |
6.7–10.2% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.6% |
5.9–7.4% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.5–7.9% |
5.2–8.3% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.4% |
4.8–6.2% |
4.6–6.4% |
4.4–6.6% |
4.1–7.0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
3.3% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.3–4.6% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
3.0% |
2.5–3.6% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.3–3.9% |
2.1–4.3% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.4% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.1–3.7% |
1.9–4.0% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.4% |
2.0–3.5% |
1.8–3.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
4% |
4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
99.1% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
97% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
|
1 |
93% |
93% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
4 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Moderaterne (NI) – Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
4% |
4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
4% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (NI) – Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
93% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
7% |
7% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
99.1% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Gallup
- Commissioner(s): Berlingske
- Fieldwork period: 27 January–2 February 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1640
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.15%