Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 20–26 February 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
24.0% |
22.3–25.7% |
21.8–26.3% |
21.4–26.7% |
20.6–27.6% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
14.4% |
13.0–15.9% |
12.7–16.3% |
12.3–16.7% |
11.7–17.4% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
10.6% |
9.4–11.9% |
9.1–12.3% |
8.8–12.7% |
8.3–13.3% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
9.6% |
8.5–10.9% |
8.2–11.2% |
7.9–11.6% |
7.4–12.2% |
Moderaterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.7% |
7.6–9.9% |
7.3–10.3% |
7.1–10.6% |
6.6–11.2% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.4% |
7.3–9.6% |
7.1–10.0% |
6.8–10.3% |
6.4–10.9% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
6.1% |
5.2–7.2% |
5.0–7.5% |
4.8–7.8% |
4.4–8.3% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
5.4% |
4.6–6.4% |
4.3–6.7% |
4.1–7.0% |
3.8–7.5% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–6.0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.8–4.7% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.8–4.7% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.4–3.9% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
68% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
32% |
32% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
82% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
18% |
18% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
13% |
100% |
|
2 |
87% |
87% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
28% |
100% |
|
2 |
72% |
72% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
66% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
34% |
34% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
|
1 |
95% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
65% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
35% |
35% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
77% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
23% |
23% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
2–4 |
2–4 |
2–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Moderaterne (NI) – Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
68% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
32% |
32% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
6% |
100% |
|
3 |
29% |
94% |
Last Result |
4 |
65% |
65% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
82% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
18% |
18% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (NI) – Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
63% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
37% |
37% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
77% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
23% |
23% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
65% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
35% |
35% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 20–26 February 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1002
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.36%