Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 13–19 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
22.2% |
20.6–23.9% |
20.1–24.4% |
19.7–24.8% |
19.0–25.7% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
12.7% |
11.4–14.1% |
11.1–14.5% |
10.7–14.8% |
10.2–15.6% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
11.0% |
9.8–12.3% |
9.5–12.7% |
9.2–13.1% |
8.7–13.7% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
11.0% |
9.8–12.3% |
9.5–12.7% |
9.2–13.1% |
8.7–13.7% |
Moderaterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.4% |
7.4–9.7% |
7.1–10.0% |
6.9–10.3% |
6.4–10.9% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.4% |
7.4–9.7% |
7.1–10.0% |
6.9–10.3% |
6.4–10.9% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.4% |
6.4–8.5% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.9–9.1% |
5.5–9.7% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.9% |
5.0–7.0% |
4.8–7.3% |
4.6–7.5% |
4.2–8.0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.7–5.9% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.1–5.1% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.6% |
2.1–3.9% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.7–4.5% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.9–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.0–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.9% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
98% |
99.1% |
Median |
5 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
99.5% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
98.9% |
98.9% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.3% |
99.3% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.3% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.4% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
96% |
96% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.1% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3–5 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Moderaterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
1.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
97% |
98.7% |
Median |
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.9% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
98% |
99.1% |
Median |
5 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
99.5% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Moderaterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.0% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.4% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.1% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 13–19 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1019
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.63%