Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 11–17 September 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne–Socialistisk Folkeparti–Alternativet (S&D) |
0.0% |
38.8% |
36.9–40.7% |
36.4–41.3% |
35.9–41.7% |
35.0–42.7% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
12.9% |
11.7–14.3% |
11.3–14.7% |
11.0–15.0% |
10.5–15.7% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
9.9% |
8.8–11.2% |
8.5–11.5% |
8.2–11.9% |
7.8–12.5% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.4% |
7.4–9.6% |
7.1–9.9% |
6.9–10.2% |
6.4–10.8% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
7.2% |
6.3–8.3% |
6.0–8.6% |
5.8–8.9% |
5.4–9.5% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.9% |
6.0–8.0% |
5.8–8.3% |
5.5–8.6% |
5.1–9.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.0% |
4.2–5.9% |
4.0–6.2% |
3.8–6.4% |
3.5–6.9% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.8% |
4.0–5.7% |
3.8–6.0% |
3.6–6.2% |
3.3–6.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.3–4.0% |
2.1–4.2% |
1.9–4.6% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.2–3.9% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.8–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne–Socialistisk Folkeparti–Alternativet (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne–Socialistisk Folkeparti–Alternativet (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
11% |
100% |
|
7 |
62% |
89% |
Median |
8 |
27% |
27% |
Majority |
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
92% |
99.8% |
Median |
3 |
8% |
8% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
42% |
100% |
|
2 |
58% |
58% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
82% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
18% |
18% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.2% |
99.5% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
44% |
100% |
|
1 |
56% |
56% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
55% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
45% |
45% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–6 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
13% |
100% |
|
5 |
64% |
87% |
Median |
6 |
23% |
23% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
82% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
18% |
18% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.2% |
99.5% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–17 September 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1070
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.99%