Moderaterne (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.3% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.3–5.2% | 2.2–5.4% | 2.0–6.0% |
| 20–26 October 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.3% |
| 13–19 October 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
3.7% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| 6–12 October 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| 23 September–5 October 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.3% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 26 September–2 October 2025 | Epinion Altinget and DR |
2.7% | 2.3–3.3% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.9% |
| 24–30 September 2025 | Verian Berlingske |
3.1% | 2.6–3.7% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.4–4.1% | 2.2–4.4% |
| 22–28 September 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| 15–21 September 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 8–14 September 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 1–7 September 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 25–31 August 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 18–24 August 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| 13–20 August 2025 | Epinion Altinget and DR |
3.9% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.4% |
| 11–17 August 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.7% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.7–4.3% |
| 23–29 June 2025 | Voxmeter | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 16–22 June 2025 | Voxmeter | 2.9% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 9–15 June 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 2–8 June 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 May–2 June 2025 | Epinion Altinget and DR |
4.1% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.6% |
| 25 May–1 June 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.9% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 19–25 May 2025 | Voxmeter | 4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.3% |
| 12–18 May 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| 5–11 May 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| 9 May 2025 | Verian Berlingske |
3.6% | 3.1–4.2% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.6–4.9% |
| 28 April–4 May 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 22–29 April 2025 | Epinion Altinget and DR |
3.9% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.4% |
| 21–27 April 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| 14–20 April 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| 7–13 April 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 31 March–6 April 2025 | Voxmeter | 4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.2% |
| 26 March–1 April 2025 | Verian Berlingske |
3.8% | 3.2–4.5% | 3.1–4.6% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.7–5.2% |
| 24–30 March 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.3–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
| 19–26 March 2025 | Epinion Altinget and DR |
3.6% | 3.1–4.3% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.6–5.0% |
| 17–23 March 2025 | Voxmeter | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 10–16 March 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.1% |
| 3–9 March 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| 26 February–4 March 2025 | Verian Berlingske |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.7% |
| 24 February–2 March 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 17–23 February 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 10–16 February 2025 | Voxmeter | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| 3–9 February 2025 | Voxmeter | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 29 January–4 February 2025 | Verian Berlingske |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 27 January–2 February 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.7% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| 20–26 January 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 15–22 January 2025 | Epinion DR |
4.4% | 3.8–5.1% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.2–5.9% |
| 13–19 January 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–12 January 2025 | Voxmeter | 3.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–23 December 2024 | Voxmeter | 3.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 December 2024 | Voxmeter | 3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 December 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
3.7% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.9–4.7% | 2.7–5.0% |
| 4 November–10 December 2024 | Epinion DR |
3.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–8 December 2024 | Voxmeter | 3.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 November–1 December 2024 | Voxmeter | 4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–24 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 3.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 October–6 November 2024 | Epinion DR |
3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–27 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 3.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–21 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–13 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 4.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–30 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 3.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–27 September 2024 | Epinion DR |
4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–22 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 5.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 5.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 September 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–8 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 5.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–25 August 2024 | Voxmeter | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 August 2024 | Voxmeter | 6.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–14 August 2024 | Epinion DR |
6.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–11 August 2024 | Voxmeter | 6.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–23 June 2024 | Voxmeter | 6.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 June 2024 | Voxmeter | 6.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 June 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
6.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Moderaterne (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 12% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 50% | 88% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 24% | 39% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 13% | 15% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 20–26 October 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13–19 October 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–12 October 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 23 September–5 October 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 26 September–2 October 2025 | Epinion Altinget and DR |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24–30 September 2025 | Verian Berlingske |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22–28 September 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 15–21 September 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 8–14 September 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–7 September 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 25–31 August 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 18–24 August 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13–20 August 2025 | Epinion Altinget and DR |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 11–17 August 2025 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–29 June 2025 | Voxmeter | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 16–22 June 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9–15 June 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 2–8 June 2025 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 26 May–2 June 2025 | Epinion Altinget and DR |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 25 May–1 June 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 19–25 May 2025 | Voxmeter | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12–18 May 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 5–11 May 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 9 May 2025 | Verian Berlingske |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 April–4 May 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 22–29 April 2025 | Epinion Altinget and DR |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 21–27 April 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 14–20 April 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 7–13 April 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 31 March–6 April 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 26 March–1 April 2025 | Verian Berlingske |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 24–30 March 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 19–26 March 2025 | Epinion Altinget and DR |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 17–23 March 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 10–16 March 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3–9 March 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 26 February–4 March 2025 | Verian Berlingske |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 24 February–2 March 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 17–23 February 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 10–16 February 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–9 February 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 29 January–4 February 2025 | Verian Berlingske |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 January–2 February 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 20–26 January 2025 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–22 January 2025 | Epinion DR |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13–19 January 2025 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 6–12 January 2025 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 16–23 December 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 9–15 December 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 4–10 December 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 4 November–10 December 2024 | Epinion DR |
|||||
| 2–8 December 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 25 November–1 December 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 18–24 November 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 11–17 November 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 6–13 November 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
|||||
| 4–10 November 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 30 October–6 November 2024 | Epinion DR |
|||||
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 21–27 October 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 14–21 October 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 7–13 October 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 23–30 September 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 20–27 September 2024 | Epinion DR |
|||||
| 16–22 September 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 9–15 September 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 4–10 September 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
|||||
| 2–8 September 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 19–25 August 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 12–18 August 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 7–14 August 2024 | Epinion DR |
|||||
| 5–11 August 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 17–23 June 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 10–16 June 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 10–12 June 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Moderaterne (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 8% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |