Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Τα Νέα, 20 January 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 35.4% 33.5–37.4% 33.0–37.9% 32.5–38.4% 31.6–39.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 24.9% 23.2–26.7% 22.7–27.2% 22.3–27.7% 21.5–28.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.5% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.2%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 3.7% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.0–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 152 144–156 144–163 141–163 139–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 68 66–77 65–78 65–78 61–80
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 27 25–33 24–33 23–33 22–35
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 21 16–24 16–24 15–24 15–26
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 19 16–21 15–22 15–23 14–24
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 8 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–14
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 10 0 0–9 0–11 0–12 0–12
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0–10 0–10 0–11 0–12
Ελληνική Λύση 0 0 0 0 0 0–10

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.3% 99.8%  
139 0.3% 99.6%  
140 1.3% 99.2%  
141 0.6% 98%  
142 0.4% 97%  
143 1.3% 97%  
144 10% 96%  
145 0.9% 86%  
146 1.2% 85%  
147 7% 83%  
148 6% 77%  
149 1.0% 71%  
150 12% 70%  
151 7% 58% Majority
152 14% 50% Median
153 2% 36%  
154 6% 34%  
155 5% 27%  
156 15% 23%  
157 0.5% 8%  
158 0.2% 7%  
159 0.1% 7%  
160 1.4% 7%  
161 0.1% 5%  
162 0% 5%  
163 5% 5%  
164 0.1% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.3% 99.6%  
62 0.3% 99.3%  
63 0.8% 99.0%  
64 0.2% 98%  
65 8% 98%  
66 4% 90%  
67 28% 87%  
68 25% 59% Median
69 2% 34%  
70 1.3% 32%  
71 8% 31%  
72 7% 23%  
73 2% 17%  
74 2% 15%  
75 2% 13%  
76 0.7% 11%  
77 0.6% 11%  
78 9% 10%  
79 0.3% 0.8%  
80 0.2% 0.5%  
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.2% 99.9%  
22 0.3% 99.7%  
23 2% 99.4%  
24 5% 97%  
25 20% 93%  
26 1.3% 73%  
27 32% 72% Median
28 3% 40%  
29 13% 36%  
30 2% 24%  
31 7% 22%  
32 2% 14%  
33 10% 12%  
34 0.9% 1.5%  
35 0.2% 0.6%  
36 0% 0.3%  
37 0.3% 0.3%  
38 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.2% 99.9%  
15 4% 99.7% Last Result
16 7% 96%  
17 11% 88%  
18 10% 78%  
19 7% 68%  
20 8% 61%  
21 27% 52% Median
22 10% 25%  
23 1.1% 15%  
24 12% 14%  
25 0.1% 1.3%  
26 1.1% 1.2%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.9%  
14 1.1% 99.8%  
15 5% 98.7%  
16 5% 93%  
17 9% 88%  
18 5% 80% Last Result
19 31% 74% Median
20 31% 44%  
21 7% 13%  
22 1.1% 5%  
23 2% 4%  
24 1.4% 2%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100%  
1 0% 57%  
2 0% 57%  
3 0% 57%  
4 0% 57%  
5 0% 57%  
6 0% 57%  
7 0% 57%  
8 10% 57% Median
9 11% 48% Last Result
10 25% 36%  
11 5% 12%  
12 4% 6%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.5%  
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  

Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Median
1 0% 40%  
2 0% 40%  
3 0% 40%  
4 0% 40%  
5 0% 40%  
6 0% 40%  
7 0% 40%  
8 0.9% 40%  
9 30% 39%  
10 4% 10% Last Result
11 2% 6%  
12 4% 4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 69% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 31%  
2 0% 31%  
3 0% 31%  
4 0% 31%  
5 0% 31%  
6 0% 31%  
7 0% 31%  
8 2% 31%  
9 7% 29%  
10 19% 22%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.6% 0.7%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.2%  
2 0% 1.2%  
3 0% 1.2%  
4 0% 1.2%  
5 0% 1.2%  
6 0% 1.2%  
7 0% 1.2%  
8 0.1% 1.2%  
9 0.6% 1.1%  
10 0.5% 0.5%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 179 100% 169–188 169–192 169–192 164–192
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 152 58% 144–156 144–163 141–163 139–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 155 74 0% 66–79 65–83 65–87 63–87
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 68 0% 66–77 65–78 65–78 61–80

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.9%  
164 0.7% 99.8%  
165 0.1% 99.1%  
166 0.5% 99.0%  
167 0.2% 98%  
168 0.2% 98%  
169 10% 98%  
170 0.5% 88%  
171 0.8% 87%  
172 0.5% 87%  
173 0.4% 86%  
174 0.5% 86%  
175 6% 85%  
176 7% 79%  
177 9% 71%  
178 8% 63%  
179 15% 55% Median
180 0.5% 39%  
181 1.1% 39%  
182 2% 38%  
183 21% 36%  
184 0.1% 15%  
185 3% 15%  
186 0.7% 11%  
187 0.4% 11%  
188 3% 10%  
189 1.4% 7%  
190 0% 5%  
191 0.1% 5%  
192 5% 5%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.3% 99.8%  
139 0.3% 99.6%  
140 1.3% 99.2%  
141 0.6% 98%  
142 0.4% 97%  
143 1.3% 97%  
144 10% 96%  
145 0.9% 86%  
146 1.2% 85%  
147 7% 83%  
148 6% 77%  
149 1.0% 71%  
150 12% 70%  
151 7% 58% Majority
152 14% 50% Median
153 2% 36%  
154 6% 34%  
155 5% 27%  
156 15% 23%  
157 0.5% 8%  
158 0.2% 7%  
159 0.1% 7%  
160 1.4% 7%  
161 0.1% 5%  
162 0% 5%  
163 5% 5%  
164 0.1% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.6% 99.7%  
64 0.1% 99.1%  
65 7% 99.0%  
66 3% 92%  
67 15% 89%  
68 9% 74% Median
69 1.4% 65%  
70 1.3% 63%  
71 4% 62%  
72 6% 58%  
73 2% 52%  
74 2% 50%  
75 2% 48%  
76 10% 46%  
77 18% 36%  
78 8% 18%  
79 0.4% 10%  
80 0.4% 10%  
81 0.3% 9%  
82 1.0% 9%  
83 5% 8%  
84 0.1% 3%  
85 0.1% 3%  
86 0.3% 3%  
87 3% 3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.3% 99.6%  
62 0.3% 99.3%  
63 0.8% 99.0%  
64 0.2% 98%  
65 8% 98%  
66 4% 90%  
67 28% 87%  
68 25% 59% Median
69 2% 34%  
70 1.3% 32%  
71 8% 31%  
72 7% 23%  
73 2% 17%  
74 2% 15%  
75 2% 13%  
76 0.7% 11%  
77 0.6% 11%  
78 9% 10%  
79 0.3% 0.8%  
80 0.2% 0.5%  
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations