Νέα Δημοκρατία

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 28.1% (General Election of 20 September 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 39.4% 36.7–41.9% 35.7–42.8% 34.8–43.6% 33.4–45.0%
1–5 July 2019 Κάπα Research
ΕΘΝΟΣ		 40.0% 38.2–41.8% 37.7–42.3% 37.3–42.7% 36.4–43.6%
1–5 July 2019 Metron Analysis 40.0% 38.4–41.7% 37.9–42.2% 37.5–42.6% 36.7–43.4%
1–4 July 2019 RASS
Action24		 39.4% 37.4–41.4% 36.9–42.0% 36.4–42.4% 35.5–43.4%
2–4 July 2019 Marc
ANT1		 38.9% 37.2–40.6% 36.8–41.0% 36.4–41.5% 35.6–42.3%
1–4 July 2019 MRB
Star		 38.8% 37.1–40.7% 36.5–41.2% 36.1–41.6% 35.3–42.5%
2–3 July 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 38.9% 37.1–40.7% 36.6–41.2% 36.2–41.7% 35.3–42.6%
18 June–3 July 2019 Public Issue 42.5% 40.5–44.5% 39.9–45.1% 39.4–45.6% 38.5–46.5%
1–3 July 2019 Interview
Βεργίνα TV		 35.7% 33.8–37.7% 33.3–38.3% 32.8–38.7% 31.9–39.7%
28 June–2 July 2019 Alco
Open TV		 38.9% 36.9–40.9% 36.4–41.5% 35.9–42.0% 35.0–42.9%
28 June–1 July 2019 Prorata 39.5% 37.5–41.5% 37.0–42.1% 36.5–42.6% 35.6–43.5%
27 June–1 July 2019 Metron Analysis
Alpha TV		 38.6% 36.8–40.4% 36.3–41.0% 35.9–41.4% 35.1–42.3%
24–27 June 2019 RASS
in.gr		 38.8% 36.9–40.8% 36.3–41.4% 35.8–41.9% 34.9–42.8%
24–26 June 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 38.9% 37.3–40.5% 36.8–41.0% 36.5–41.4% 35.7–42.2%
24–26 June 2019 MRB
Τα Νέα		 37.9% 35.9–39.9% 35.4–40.4% 34.9–40.9% 34.0–41.9%
24–26 June 2019 Interview
Politik		 39.1% 37.2–41.1% 36.6–41.7% 36.1–42.2% 35.2–43.1%
19–23 June 2019 Marc
ANT1		 39.2% 37.4–41.0% 36.9–41.5% 36.5–42.0% 35.7–42.9%
18–20 June 2019 Prorata
Newpost		 40.2% 38.2–42.2% 37.7–42.8% 37.2–43.3% 36.3–44.2%
18–20 June 2019 Interview
Βεργίνα TV		 34.2% 32.3–36.2% 31.8–36.7% 31.3–37.2% 30.4–38.1%
18–19 June 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 37.1% 36.1–39.6% 35.6–40.2% 35.1–40.6% 34.3–41.5%
17–19 June 2019 Opinion Poll 39.8% 37.8–41.8% 37.3–42.4% 36.8–42.9% 35.9–43.9%
14–19 June 2019 Metron Analysis
Το Βήμα		 38.0% 36.0–40.0% 35.5–40.5% 35.0–41.0% 34.1–42.0%
13–19 June 2019 Alco 32.4% 30.5–34.3% 30.0–34.9% 29.6–35.4% 28.7–36.3%
10–13 June 2019 Marc 40.1% 38.2–42.0% 37.7–42.5% 37.3–43.0% 36.4–43.9%
10–12 June 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 37.9% 36.2–39.6% 35.8–40.1% 35.4–40.5% 34.6–41.4%
10–12 June 2019 MRB
Star		 37.0% 35.1–39.0% 34.5–39.5% 34.0–40.0% 33.1–41.0%
3–5 June 2019 Metron Analysis
Alpha TV		 39.8% 38.0–41.6% 37.5–42.2% 37.1–42.6% 36.2–43.5%
30 May–1 June 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 36.4% 34.7–38.1% 34.3–38.6% 33.9–39.0% 33.1–39.8%
20–23 May 2019 RB 32.2% 30.3–34.1% 29.8–34.7% 29.3–35.1% 28.5–36.1%
21–23 May 2019 Palmos Analysis 31.9% 30.1–33.9% 29.6–34.4% 29.2–34.9% 28.3–35.8%
20–23 May 2019 Marc 35.4% 33.8–37.0% 33.4–37.4% 33.0–37.8% 32.3–38.6%
21–22 May 2019 Κάπα Research 31.7% 29.8–33.6% 29.3–34.2% 28.9–34.6% 28.0–35.6%
21–22 May 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 34.6% 32.9–36.4% 32.4–36.9% 32.0–37.3% 31.2–38.2%
20–22 May 2019 Interview 37.1% 35.3–39.0% 34.8–39.5% 34.3–40.0% 33.4–40.9%
2–21 May 2019 Innovation Metrisis 34.6% 32.7–36.5% 32.2–37.1% 31.7–37.6% 30.9–38.5%
16–20 May 2019 Metron Analysis 35.5% 33.9–37.2% 33.5–37.6% 33.1–38.0% 32.3–38.8%
15–19 May 2019 Alco 34.3% 32.4–36.3% 31.9–36.8% 31.4–37.3% 30.5–38.3%
15–18 May 2019 Prorata 35.0% 33.1–37.0% 32.6–37.5% 32.1–38.0% 31.2–39.0%
15–17 May 2019 RASS 36.0% 34.1–38.0% 33.5–38.5% 33.1–39.0% 32.2–40.0%
14–17 May 2019 Palmos Analysis 33.7% 31.8–35.6% 31.3–36.2% 30.9–36.6% 30.0–37.6%
14–16 May 2019 Marc 34.8% 33.2–36.5% 32.7–37.0% 32.3–37.4% 31.5–38.3%
6–8 May 2019 Vox Pop Analysis
Documento		 35.0% 33.3–36.7% 32.8–37.2% 32.4–37.6% 31.6–38.5%
6–8 May 2019 MRB
Star		 36.0% 34.1–38.0% 33.6–38.6% 33.1–39.1% 32.2–40.0%
15–17 April 2019 Metron Analysis
Alpha TV		 37.5% 35.7–39.3% 35.2–39.8% 34.8–40.3% 34.0–41.2%
15–17 April 2019 Interview
Βεργίνα TV		 36.8% 34.9–38.8% 34.4–39.4% 33.9–39.9% 33.0–40.8%
1–3 April 2019 MRB
Star		 37.3% 35.4–39.3% 34.8–39.8% 34.3–40.3% 33.4–41.3%
26 March–1 April 2019 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 37.2% 35.4–39.0% 34.9–39.5% 34.5–39.9% 33.6–40.8%
26–28 March 2019 RASS
in.gr		 35.9% 34.0–37.9% 33.5–38.5% 33.0–38.9% 32.1–39.9%
23–27 March 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 37.0% 35.4–38.6% 34.9–39.1% 34.5–39.5% 33.8–40.3%
19–26 March 2019 Alco 33.0% 31.1–34.9% 30.6–35.5% 30.1–36.0% 29.3–36.9%
18–20 March 2019 Vox Pop Analysis
Documento		 30.5% 28.7–32.4% 28.2–33.0% 27.7–33.4% 26.9–34.4%
18–20 March 2019 Metron Analysis
Το Βήμα		 36.8% 35.0–38.6% 34.5–39.1% 34.1–39.6% 33.3–40.4%
24–26 February 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 37.0% 35.4–38.8% 34.9–39.3% 34.5–39.7% 33.7–40.5%
18–23 February 2019 Alco
Open		 32.8% 30.9–34.8% 30.4–35.3% 29.9–35.8% 29.1–36.7%
1–14 February 2019 Public Issue 39.0% 37.1–41.0% 36.5–41.6% 36.0–42.1% 35.1–43.1%
4–5 February 2019 Interview
Βεργίνα TV		 36.7% 34.8–38.7% 34.2–39.2% 33.8–39.7% 32.8–40.7%
1–4 February 2019 Prorata
Η Εφημερίδα των Συντακτών		 30.0% 28.2–31.9% 27.7–32.4% 27.2–32.9% 26.4–33.9%
1–2 February 2019 Vox Pop Analysis
Documento		 37.2% 35.4–39.0% 34.9–39.5% 34.5–39.9% 33.7–40.8%
28–29 January 2019 Metron Analysis
Το Βήμα		 29.5% 28.8–30.2% 28.6–30.4% 28.5–30.5% 28.2–30.9%
21–24 January 2019 RASS
in.gr		 36.6% 34.6–38.5% 34.1–39.1% 33.6–39.6% 32.7–40.5%
20–22 January 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 38.0% 36.3–39.7% 35.8–40.2% 35.4–40.6% 34.6–41.4%
14–17 January 2019 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 37.3% 35.4–39.3% 34.8–39.9% 34.4–40.4% 33.5–41.3%
10–16 January 2019 Opinion Poll 42.5% 40.5–44.5% 39.9–45.1% 39.5–45.6% 38.5–46.6%
16–18 December 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 38.0% 36.4–39.8% 35.9–40.2% 35.5–40.7% 34.7–41.5%
5–10 December 2018 Alco
Open		 32.8% 30.9–34.8% 30.4–35.3% 29.9–35.8% 29.1–36.7%
4–6 December 2018 Κάπα Research
thebest.gr		 31.7% 29.8–33.6% 29.3–34.2% 28.9–34.6% 28.0–35.6%
28 November–6 December 2018 MRB
real.gr		 37.1% 35.7–38.5% 35.3–38.9% 35.0–39.2% 34.4–39.9%
20–23 November 2018 Palmos Analysis
TVXS		 34.0% 32.2–36.0% 31.7–36.5% 31.2–37.0% 30.3–38.0%
19–21 November 2018 Metron Analysis
Τα Νέα		 37.8% 36.0–39.6% 35.5–40.1% 35.1–40.5% 34.2–41.4%
18–20 November 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 36.5% 34.8–38.2% 34.4–38.7% 34.0–39.1% 33.2–39.9%
6–16 November 2018 Public Issue 38.5% 36.5–40.5% 36.0–41.1% 35.5–41.6% 34.6–42.5%
22–24 October 2018 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 36.8% 34.9–38.8% 34.4–39.4% 33.9–39.9% 33.0–40.8%
14–16 October 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 38.0% 36.3–39.7% 35.9–40.2% 35.5–40.6% 34.7–41.5%
18–21 September 2018 Palmos Analysis
TVXS		 34.0% 32.1–35.9% 31.6–36.5% 31.1–36.9% 30.2–37.9%
18–20 September 2018 Metron Analysis
Τα Νέα		 36.9% 35.0–38.9% 34.4–39.5% 34.0–39.9% 33.0–40.9%
17–19 September 2018 MRB
Star		 37.6% 35.7–39.6% 35.2–40.2% 34.7–40.7% 33.8–41.7%
17–19 September 2018 Alco
Kontra Channel		 33.3% 31.4–35.3% 30.9–35.8% 30.4–36.3% 29.6–37.2%
17–18 September 2018 Κάπα Research
ΕΘΝΟΣ		 31.4% 29.6–33.4% 29.1–33.9% 28.6–34.4% 27.8–35.3%
16–18 September 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 38.0% 36.4–39.8% 35.9–40.2% 35.5–40.7% 34.7–41.5%
8 September 2018 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 36.4% 34.5–38.4% 33.9–38.9% 33.5–39.4% 32.6–40.4%
25 June–2 July 2018 Κάπα Research
ΕΘΝΟΣ		 30.6% 28.8–32.5% 28.2–33.0% 27.8–33.5% 26.9–34.4%
22–29 June 2018 MRB
Real		 36.8% 35.4–38.2% 35.0–38.6% 34.7–38.9% 34.0–39.6%
26–28 June 2018 Metron Analysis
Τα Νέα		 36.7% 34.8–38.7% 34.2–39.2% 33.8–39.7% 32.8–40.7%
23–27 June 2018 Alco
Kontra Channel		 32.6% 30.7–34.6% 30.2–35.1% 29.8–35.6% 28.9–36.5%
24–26 June 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 39.0% 37.3–40.7% 36.8–41.2% 36.4–41.7% 35.6–42.5%
13–15 June 2018 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 37.8% 35.9–39.8% 35.3–40.4% 34.8–40.9% 33.9–41.8%
29–31 May 2018 RASS
Action 24		 36.2% 34.3–38.2% 33.8–38.8% 33.3–39.3% 32.4–40.2%
16–20 May 2018 Alco
Kontra Channel		 25.7% 23.8–27.8% 23.3–28.4% 22.8–28.9% 21.9–29.9%
13–15 May 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 37.0% 35.3–38.7% 34.8–39.2% 34.4–39.6% 33.6–40.4%
23 April–7 May 2018 Public Issue 39.0% 37.0–41.0% 36.5–41.5% 36.0–42.1% 35.1–43.0%
21 April 2018 Metron Analysis
Τα Νέα		 36.3% 34.4–38.3% 33.8–38.9% 33.4–39.3% 32.5–40.3%
15–17 April 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 36.0% 34.3–37.7% 33.9–38.2% 33.5–38.6% 32.7–39.4%
11–16 April 2018 Alco
Ραδιόφωνο 24/7		 31.4% 29.6–33.3% 29.0–33.9% 28.6–34.4% 27.7–35.3%
12–15 April 2018 Palmos Analysis
TVXS		 32.5% 30.7–34.4% 30.1–35.0% 29.7–35.5% 28.8–36.4%
3 April 2018 Κάπα Research
ΕΘΝΟΣ		 28.4% 27.8–29.1% 27.6–29.2% 27.4–29.4% 27.1–29.7%
1–23 March 2018 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 35.3% 33.4–37.3% 32.9–37.8% 32.4–38.3% 31.5–39.3%
11–13 March 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 36.0% 34.3–37.7% 33.8–38.2% 33.4–38.6% 32.6–39.4%
6–8 March 2018 RASS
Πρώτο Θέμα		 35.8% 33.9–37.8% 33.4–38.4% 32.9–38.9% 32.0–39.8%
3 March 2018 Pulse RC
Δημοκρατία		 35.5% 33.7–37.3% 33.2–37.8% 32.8–38.2% 32.0–39.1%
3 March 2018 Opinion Poll
Παρασκήνιο		 38.7% 36.7–40.7% 36.2–41.3% 35.7–41.8% 34.8–42.7%
22–24 February 2018 Alco
ΕΘΝΟΣ		 32.0% 30.1–33.9% 29.6–34.5% 29.2–35.0% 28.3–35.9%
12–23 February 2018 Metron Analysis
Το Βήμα		 34.9% 33.7–36.2% 33.3–36.6% 33.0–36.9% 32.4–37.5%
25–29 January 2018 Pulse RC
Action 24		 36.5% 34.9–38.1% 34.5–38.6% 34.1–39.0% 33.4–39.7%
20 January 2018 Metron Analysis
Τα Νέα		 35.4% 33.5–37.4% 33.0–37.9% 32.5–38.4% 31.6–39.4%
8–18 January 2018 Public Issue 37.0% 35.1–39.0% 34.6–39.6% 34.1–40.1% 33.2–41.0%
16–18 January 2018 Alco
Ραδιόφωνο 24/7		 32.7% 30.8–34.6% 30.3–35.2% 29.9–35.7% 29.0–36.6%
13 January 2018 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 35.1% 33.2–37.1% 32.7–37.6% 32.2–38.1% 31.3–39.1%
8–10 January 2018 Pulse RC
bankingnews.gr		 36.5% 34.8–38.3% 34.3–38.9% 33.9–39.3% 33.0–40.2%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Νέα Δημοκρατία.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27.5–28.5% 0% 100% Last Result
28.5–29.5% 0% 100%  
29.5–30.5% 0% 100%  
30.5–31.5% 0% 100%  
31.5–32.5% 0.1% 100%  
32.5–33.5% 0.5% 99.9%  
33.5–34.5% 1.4% 99.3%  
34.5–35.5% 3% 98%  
35.5–36.5% 4% 95%  
36.5–37.5% 9% 91%  
37.5–38.5% 15% 83%  
38.5–39.5% 21% 67% Median
39.5–40.5% 20% 46%  
40.5–41.5% 13% 26%  
41.5–42.5% 7% 13%  
42.5–43.5% 3% 6%  
43.5–44.5% 2% 3%  
44.5–45.5% 0.6% 0.9%  
45.5–46.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
46.5–47.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 75 seats (General Election of 20 September 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 160 153–169 151–172 150–174 147–179
1–5 July 2019 Κάπα Research
ΕΘΝΟΣ		 161 156–169 154–169 153–171 150–175
1–5 July 2019 Metron Analysis 159 154–164 152–166 151–167 149–170
1–4 July 2019 RASS
Action24		 164 156–172 154–176 153–176 151–179
2–4 July 2019 Marc
ANT1		 159 153–163 151–165 150–166 148–169
1–4 July 2019 MRB
Star		 155 150–162 148–163 147–163 145–167
2–3 July 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 157 150–163 149–164 148–165 146–168
18 June–3 July 2019 Public Issue 168 161–175 159–178 157–180 155–183
1–3 July 2019 Interview
Βεργίνα TV		 159 153–165 151–167 149–168 147–171
28 June–2 July 2019 Alco
Open TV		 158 153–165 152–167 150–169 147–173
28 June–1 July 2019 Prorata 164 157–172 156–174 154–176 151–180
27 June–1 July 2019 Metron Analysis
Alpha TV		 155 150–160 148–162 147–162 145–166
24–27 June 2019 RASS
in.gr		 155 149–161 147–163 146–164 143–169
24–26 June 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 154 150–159 148–160 147–161 145–164
24–26 June 2019 MRB
Τα Νέα		 154 149–160 147–163 146–165 143–170
24–26 June 2019 Interview
Politik		 158 152–166 150–168 148–168 146–170
19–23 June 2019 Marc
ANT1		 159 153–163 152–165 151–167 148–171
18–20 June 2019 Prorata
Newpost		 161 156–169 154–172 153–172 151–177
18–20 June 2019 Interview
Βεργίνα TV		 164 156–173 156–174 154–175 151–181
18–19 June 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 145 142–152 142–152 141–152 137–155
17–19 June 2019 Opinion Poll 162 156–170 154–172 153–172 150–177
14–19 June 2019 Metron Analysis
Το Βήμα		 161 153–168 151–169 150–171 147–174
13–19 June 2019 Alco 157 149–165 148–167 147–169 144–173
10–13 June 2019 Marc 161 155–166 154–168 153–170 151–173
10–12 June 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 152 147–157 146–159 145–160 142–162
10–12 June 2019 MRB
Star		 153 147–159 145–161 144–162 141–165
3–5 June 2019 Metron Analysis
Alpha TV		 160 154–165 153–167 151–169 149–172
30 May–1 June 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 152 148–160 145–160 144–161 142–161
20–23 May 2019 RB 150 142–156 140–158 138–160 135–165
21–23 May 2019 Palmos Analysis 142 136–146 134–148 87–149 82–151
20–23 May 2019 Marc 157 151–161 149–163 148–163 146–165
21–22 May 2019 Κάπα Research 145 138–149 133–152 87–153 81–158
21–22 May 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 155 149–160 147–162 145–163 143–164
20–22 May 2019 Interview 160 153–167 151–167 149–167 147–171
2–21 May 2019 Innovation Metrisis 147 142–155 141–156 140–157 138–163
16–20 May 2019 Metron Analysis 159 151–162 150–164 150–165 148–168
15–19 May 2019 Alco 152 143–158 141–158 140–159 136–162
15–18 May 2019 Prorata 149 143–154 141–156 140–158 135–160
15–17 May 2019 RASS 151 144–157 143–158 141–160 139–163
14–17 May 2019 Palmos Analysis 149 140–153 137–155 90–155 86–160
14–16 May 2019 Marc 156 148–160 146–161 145–161 143–164
6–8 May 2019 Vox Pop Analysis
Documento		 148 148–156 147–157 95–160 92–162
6–8 May 2019 MRB
Star		 154 147–159 146–161 144–162 141–165
15–17 April 2019 Metron Analysis
Alpha TV		 156 150–161 148–163 147–164 145–167
15–17 April 2019 Interview
Βεργίνα TV		 154 147–162 146–164 144–165 142–167
1–3 April 2019 MRB
Star		 155 149–162 148–164 146–164 143–168
26 March–1 April 2019 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 155 149–160 148–162 147–163 143–167
26–28 March 2019 RASS
in.gr		 148 143–154 141–155 140–157 138–161
23–27 March 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 155 150–160 149–162 148–164 145–166
19–26 March 2019 Alco 148 142–155 140–157 138–158 136–163
18–20 March 2019 Vox Pop Analysis
Documento		 149 93–155 92–157 90–158 87–161
18–20 March 2019 Metron Analysis
Το Βήμα		 159 155–164 154–166 152–167 148–169
24–26 February 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 157 151–159 150–160 150–161 147–165
18–23 February 2019 Alco
Open		 145 142–151 137–152 136–153 134–156
1–14 February 2019 Public Issue 158 152–166 151–167 149–168 147–172
4–5 February 2019 Interview
Βεργίνα TV		 157 150–165 149–168 148–170 145–171
1–4 February 2019 Prorata
Η Εφημερίδα των Συντακτών		 153 146–157 145–159 142–161 137–163
1–2 February 2019 Vox Pop Analysis
Documento		 160 153–167 151–167 149–169 147–172
28–29 January 2019 Metron Analysis
Το Βήμα		 149 147–151 146–152 146–153 95–154
21–24 January 2019 RASS
in.gr		 150 144–156 142–157 141–159 138–162
20–22 January 2019 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 158 154–163 153–163 151–164 149–167
14–17 January 2019 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 152 147–162 147–164 145–166 142–170
10–16 January 2019 Opinion Poll 176 168–182 168–183 166–184 165–189
16–18 December 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 159 154–164 153–165 151–165 150–169
5–10 December 2018 Alco
Open		 145 140–152 138–154 137–156 134–161
4–6 December 2018 Κάπα Research
thebest.gr		 142 135–148 134–150 133–151 85–154
28 November–6 December 2018 MRB
real.gr		 154 151–159 149–160 148–161 146–163
20–23 November 2018 Palmos Analysis
TVXS		 147 142–154 139–155 138–157 87–159
19–21 November 2018 Metron Analysis
Τα Νέα		 160 154–165 153–167 151–167 148–170
18–20 November 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 154 150–159 148–160 146–162 144–163
6–16 November 2018 Public Issue 163 158–169 156–170 155–172 152–174
22–24 October 2018 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 157 150–162 149–166 147–168 145–170
14–16 October 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 158 151–161 150–163 149–163 146–166
18–21 September 2018 Palmos Analysis
TVXS		 153 146–158 145–160 143–162 93–164
18–20 September 2018 Metron Analysis
Τα Νέα		 153 153–163 150–163 150–165 146–171
17–19 September 2018 MRB
Star		 156 150–161 150–161 148–161 145–164
17–19 September 2018 Alco
Kontra Channel		 149 143–158 141–159 139–159 135–160
17–18 September 2018 Κάπα Research
ΕΘΝΟΣ		 141 135–146 132–148 131–148 130–151
16–18 September 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 156 151–160 150–161 149–163 146–165
8 September 2018 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 157 149–164 148–165 146–166 143–169
25 June–2 July 2018 Κάπα Research
ΕΘΝΟΣ		 139 133–143 131–145 129–147 126–151
22–29 June 2018 MRB
Real		 151 147–156 146–157 145–158 143–159
26–28 June 2018 Metron Analysis
Τα Νέα		 153 147–160 145–161 144–163 143–168
23–27 June 2018 Alco
Kontra Channel		 146 140–153 139–155 137–156 135–159
24–26 June 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 160 157–163 154–164 153–166 151–169
13–15 June 2018 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 157 152–166 151–167 150–168 146–169
29–31 May 2018 RASS
Action 24		 147 142–151 140–154 139–155 136–158
16–20 May 2018 Alco
Kontra Channel		 101 91–155 89–155 87–158 83–162
13–15 May 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 155 149–161 148–161 147–162 143–164
23 April–7 May 2018 Public Issue 161 155–166 153–169 152–169 149–172
21 April 2018 Metron Analysis
Τα Νέα		 155 148–159 146–162 146–163 143–167
15–17 April 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 152 146–156 145–158 143–160 142–161
11–16 April 2018 Alco
Ραδιόφωνο 24/7		 143 138–149 135–149 135–150 131–152
12–15 April 2018 Palmos Analysis
TVXS		 144 139–151 137–152 135–154 132–157
3 April 2018 Κάπα Research
ΕΘΝΟΣ		 136 133–137 133–137 133–138 131–141
1–23 March 2018 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 154 142–156 140–157 140–159 139–162
11–13 March 2018 Pulse RC
ΣΚΑΪ		 152 144–160 143–162 142–162 141–163
6–8 March 2018 RASS
Πρώτο Θέμα		 146 140–152 140–155 138–155 135–158
3 March 2018 Pulse RC
Δημοκρατία		 153 143–156 141–160 141–160 138–160
3 March 2018 Opinion Poll
Παρασκήνιο		 157 151–164 150–165 149–167 145–171
22–24 February 2018 Alco
ΕΘΝΟΣ		 143 137–147 134–148 132–152 129–152
12–23 February 2018 Metron Analysis
Το Βήμα		 149 146–152 144–154 144–155 142–159
25–29 January 2018 Pulse RC
Action 24		 152 149–156 147–160 146–162 144–163
20 January 2018 Metron Analysis
Τα Νέα		 152 144–156 144–163 141–163 139–163
8–18 January 2018 Public Issue 156 151–161 150–163 147–163 145–166
16–18 January 2018 Alco
Ραδιόφωνο 24/7		 139 136–145 133–147 132–149 129–151
13 January 2018 Marc
Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ		 146 141–155 139–155 139–156 136–160
8–10 January 2018 Pulse RC
bankingnews.gr		 154 148–159 146–161 145–162 142–165

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Νέα Δημοκρατία.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0.2% 99.9%  
146 0.2% 99.8%  
147 0.3% 99.6%  
148 0.6% 99.3%  
149 0.7% 98.7%  
150 2% 98%  
151 1.4% 96% Majority
152 2% 95%  
153 4% 92%  
154 4% 89%  
155 4% 85%  
156 5% 80%  
157 8% 75%  
158 6% 67%  
159 7% 61%  
160 7% 54% Median
161 7% 47%  
162 6% 40%  
163 5% 34%  
164 5% 29%  
165 4% 25%  
166 4% 21%  
167 4% 17%  
168 2% 13%  
169 3% 11%  
170 2% 8%  
171 1.3% 7%  
172 1.4% 5%  
173 0.7% 4%  
174 0.7% 3%  
175 0.7% 2%  
176 0.6% 2%  
177 0.4% 1.1%  
178 0.2% 0.8%  
179 0.2% 0.5%  
180 0.2% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%