Κίνημα Αλλαγής
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.3% (General Election of 20 September 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.5% | 6.3–8.8% | 6.0–9.1% | 5.7–9.5% | 5.2–10.1% |
| 1–5 July 2019 | Κάπα Research ΕΘΝΟΣ |
7.3% | 6.5–8.4% | 6.2–8.7% | 6.0–8.9% | 5.6–9.4% |
| 1–5 July 2019 | Metron Analysis | 7.7% | 6.9–8.7% | 6.7–9.0% | 6.5–9.2% | 6.1–9.7% |
| 1–4 July 2019 | RASS Action24 |
8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.2–10.7% |
| 2–4 July 2019 | Marc ANT1 |
7.0% | 6.2–8.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.4–8.9% |
| 1–4 July 2019 | MRB Star |
7.8% | 6.9–8.9% | 6.6–9.2% | 6.4–9.5% | 6.0–10.0% |
| 2–3 July 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
7.6% | 6.7–8.7% | 6.5–9.0% | 6.2–9.3% | 5.9–9.8% |
| 18 June–3 July 2019 | Public Issue | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 1–3 July 2019 | Interview Βεργίνα TV |
7.2% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.3–9.5% |
| 28 June–2 July 2019 | Alco Open TV |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 28 June–1 July 2019 | Prorata | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 27 June–1 July 2019 | Metron Analysis Alpha TV |
7.5% | 6.6–8.6% | 6.4–8.9% | 6.2–9.2% | 5.8–9.7% |
| 24–27 June 2019 | RASS in.gr |
9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.1% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.3–12.1% |
| 24–26 June 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
7.2% | 6.4–8.1% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.6% | 5.6–9.1% |
| 24–26 June 2019 | MRB Τα Νέα |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 24–26 June 2019 | Interview Politik |
7.3% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.8–9.0% | 5.4–9.6% |
| 19–23 June 2019 | Marc ANT1 |
7.5% | 6.6–8.6% | 6.4–8.9% | 6.1–9.1% | 5.7–9.6% |
| 18–20 June 2019 | Prorata Newpost |
7.5% | 6.5–8.7% | 6.2–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.9% |
| 18–20 June 2019 | Interview Βεργίνα TV |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 18–19 June 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
8.4% | 7.6–9.6% | 7.3–10.0% | 7.1–10.2% | 6.6–10.8% |
| 17–19 June 2019 | Opinion Poll | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.7% |
| 14–19 June 2019 | Metron Analysis Το Βήμα |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 13–19 June 2019 | Alco | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| 10–13 June 2019 | Marc | 8.3% | 7.4–9.5% | 7.1–9.8% | 6.9–10.1% | 6.4–10.7% |
| 10–12 June 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
7.3% | 6.5–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% | 6.0–8.8% | 5.7–9.3% |
| 10–12 June 2019 | MRB Star |
7.3% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.6% |
| 3–5 June 2019 | Metron Analysis Alpha TV |
7.8% | 6.9–8.9% | 6.6–9.2% | 6.4–9.5% | 6.0–10.0% |
| 30 May–1 June 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
8.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.5–10.0% | 7.2–10.2% | 6.8–10.8% |
| 20–23 May 2019 | RB | 7.5% | 6.5–8.7% | 6.2–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.9% |
| 21–23 May 2019 | Palmos Analysis | 7.4% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.5–9.7% |
| 20–23 May 2019 | Marc | 8.0% | 7.2–9.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.4–10.0% |
| 21–22 May 2019 | Κάπα Research | 7.2% | 6.2–8.3% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.3–9.5% |
| 21–22 May 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
7.8% | 6.9–8.9% | 6.6–9.2% | 6.4–9.4% | 6.0–10.0% |
| 20–22 May 2019 | Interview | 7.4% | 6.5–8.5% | 6.2–8.9% | 6.0–9.1% | 5.6–9.7% |
| 2–21 May 2019 | Innovation Metrisis | 9.3% | 8.3–10.6% | 8.0–11.0% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| 16–20 May 2019 | Metron Analysis | 6.6% | 5.9–7.6% | 5.6–7.8% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.1–8.5% |
| 15–19 May 2019 | Alco | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| 15–18 May 2019 | Prorata | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 15–17 May 2019 | RASS | 9.9% | 8.7–11.2% | 8.4–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.5% |
| 14–17 May 2019 | Palmos Analysis | 6.1% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| 14–16 May 2019 | Marc | 7.5% | 6.6–8.5% | 6.4–8.8% | 6.2–9.1% | 5.8–9.6% |
| 6–8 May 2019 | Vox Pop Analysis Documento |
6.0% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.8–7.4% | 4.5–7.9% |
| 6–8 May 2019 | MRB Star |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 15–17 April 2019 | Metron Analysis Alpha TV |
8.7% | 7.7–9.8% | 7.4–10.1% | 7.2–10.4% | 6.8–11.0% |
| 15–17 April 2019 | Interview Βεργίνα TV |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 1–3 April 2019 | MRB Star |
7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| 26 March–1 April 2019 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
7.9% | 7.0–9.0% | 6.7–9.3% | 6.5–9.6% | 6.1–10.1% |
| 26–28 March 2019 | RASS in.gr |
10.7% | 9.6–12.1% | 9.3–12.5% | 9.0–12.8% | 8.4–13.5% |
| 23–27 March 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
8.0% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.3–10.0% |
| 19–26 March 2019 | Alco | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 18–20 March 2019 | Vox Pop Analysis Documento |
5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–8.0% |
| 18–20 March 2019 | Metron Analysis Το Βήμα |
7.4% | 6.5–8.5% | 6.2–8.7% | 6.0–9.0% | 5.6–9.6% |
| 24–26 February 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
8.0% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.3–10.1% |
| 18–23 February 2019 | Alco Open |
5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% |
| 1–14 February 2019 | Public Issue | 8.5% | 7.5–9.7% | 7.1–10.1% | 6.9–10.4% | 6.4–11.0% |
| 4–5 February 2019 | Interview Βεργίνα TV |
6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| 1–4 February 2019 | Prorata Η Εφημερίδα των Συντακτών |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 1–2 February 2019 | Vox Pop Analysis Documento |
4.8% | 4.1–5.7% | 3.9–6.0% | 3.7–6.2% | 3.4–6.6% |
| 28–29 January 2019 | Metron Analysis Το Βήμα |
4.8% | 4.5–5.1% | 4.4–5.2% | 4.3–5.3% | 4.2–5.5% |
| 21–24 January 2019 | RASS in.gr |
10.3% | 9.1–11.6% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.5–12.3% | 8.0–13.0% |
| 20–22 January 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
7.5% | 6.7–8.5% | 6.4–8.8% | 6.2–9.1% | 5.9–9.6% |
| 14–17 January 2019 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
7.5% | 6.5–8.7% | 6.2–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.9% |
| 10–16 January 2019 | Opinion Poll | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.2% |
| 16–18 December 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
8.0% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.6–9.6% | 6.2–10.1% |
| 5–10 December 2018 | Alco Open |
6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.7% |
| 4–6 December 2018 | Κάπα Research thebest.gr |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 28 November–6 December 2018 | MRB real.gr |
8.1% | 7.4–8.9% | 7.1–9.2% | 7.0–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% |
| 20–23 November 2018 | Palmos Analysis TVXS |
6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.2% | 4.8–8.8% |
| 19–21 November 2018 | Metron Analysis Τα Νέα |
6.9% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.8–8.2% | 5.6–8.5% | 5.2–9.0% |
| 18–20 November 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
9.0% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.6–10.7% | 7.2–11.2% |
| 6–16 November 2018 | Public Issue | 9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.3–12.1% |
| 22–24 October 2018 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
8.4% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| 14–16 October 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
8.5% | 7.6–9.5% | 7.3–9.8% | 7.1–10.1% | 6.7–10.6% |
| 18–21 September 2018 | Palmos Analysis TVXS |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 18–20 September 2018 | Metron Analysis Τα Νέα |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| 17–19 September 2018 | MRB Star |
7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Alco Kontra Channel |
6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| 17–18 September 2018 | Κάπα Research ΕΘΝΟΣ |
8.8% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.4–10.4% | 7.2–10.7% | 6.7–11.3% |
| 16–18 September 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
8.0% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.6–9.6% | 6.2–10.1% |
| 8 September 2018 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| 25 June–2 July 2018 | Κάπα Research ΕΘΝΟΣ |
9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| 22–29 June 2018 | MRB Real |
10.6% | 9.8–11.5% | 9.5–11.8% | 9.3–12.0% | 8.9–12.5% |
| 26–28 June 2018 | Metron Analysis Τα Νέα |
9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.6% |
| 23–27 June 2018 | Alco Kontra Channel |
7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| 24–26 June 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
8.5% | 7.5–9.5% | 7.3–9.8% | 7.1–10.1% | 6.7–10.6% |
| 13–15 June 2018 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| 29–31 May 2018 | RASS Action 24 |
11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.2–13.6% | 9.9–13.9% | 9.4–14.6% |
| 16–20 May 2018 | Alco Kontra Channel |
6.3% | 5.4–7.6% | 5.1–7.9% | 4.8–8.3% | 4.4–8.9% |
| 13–15 May 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
9.0% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.6–10.7% | 7.2–11.2% |
| 23 April–7 May 2018 | Public Issue | 11.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.4–12.7% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.6–13.7% |
| 21 April 2018 | Metron Analysis Τα Νέα |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 15–17 April 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
10.5% | 9.5–11.6% | 9.2–11.9% | 8.9–12.2% | 8.5–12.8% |
| 11–16 April 2018 | Alco Ραδιόφωνο 24/7 |
7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 12–15 April 2018 | Palmos Analysis TVXS |
9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.4–12.1% |
| 3 April 2018 | Κάπα Research ΕΘΝΟΣ |
10.3% | 9.9–10.8% | 9.8–10.9% | 9.6–11.0% | 9.4–11.2% |
| 1–23 March 2018 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.5% |
| 11–13 March 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
10.0% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.5–11.7% | 8.0–12.3% |
| 6–8 March 2018 | RASS Πρώτο Θέμα |
12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.2% | 10.5–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% |
| 3 March 2018 | Pulse RC Δημοκρατία |
9.5% | 8.5–10.7% | 8.2–11.0% | 8.0–11.3% | 7.5–11.9% |
| 3 March 2018 | Opinion Poll Παρασκήνιο |
9.1% | 8.0–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.0–11.7% |
| 22–24 February 2018 | Alco ΕΘΝΟΣ |
9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| 12–23 February 2018 | Metron Analysis Το Βήμα |
8.4% | 7.7–9.2% | 7.5–9.4% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.0–10.0% |
| 25–29 January 2018 | Pulse RC Action 24 |
10.5% | 9.5–11.6% | 9.3–11.9% | 9.0–12.1% | 8.6–12.7% |
| 20 January 2018 | Metron Analysis Τα Νέα |
9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.5% |
| 8–18 January 2018 | Public Issue | 13.0% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 11.0–15.2% | 10.5–15.9% |
| 16–18 January 2018 | Alco Ραδιόφωνο 24/7 |
9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.3–11.4% | 8.0–11.7% | 7.5–12.3% |
| 13 January 2018 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 8–10 January 2018 | Pulse RC bankingnews.gr |
10.0% | 9.0–11.2% | 8.7–11.6% | 8.4–11.9% | 8.0–12.5% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Κίνημα Αλλαγής.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 13% | 98.5% | Last Result |
| 6.5–7.5% | 36% | 86% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 35% | 50% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 12% | 14% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 17 seats (General Election of 20 September 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 21 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–27 | 15–29 |
| 1–5 July 2019 | Κάπα Research ΕΘΝΟΣ |
21 | 18–24 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 16–26 |
| 1–5 July 2019 | Metron Analysis | 21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–25 | 17–27 |
| 1–4 July 2019 | RASS Action24 |
24 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 19–29 | 18–31 |
| 2–4 July 2019 | Marc ANT1 |
19 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 15–25 |
| 1–4 July 2019 | MRB Star |
22 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 16–27 |
| 2–3 July 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
22 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 16–27 |
| 18 June–3 July 2019 | Public Issue | 22 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 18–27 | 17–29 |
| 1–3 July 2019 | Interview Βεργίνα TV |
22 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 | 16–29 |
| 28 June–2 July 2019 | Alco Open TV |
22 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 18–27 | 17–29 |
| 28 June–1 July 2019 | Prorata | 20 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 16–26 | 15–27 |
| 27 June–1 July 2019 | Metron Analysis Alpha TV |
20 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 16–26 |
| 24–27 June 2019 | RASS in.gr |
26 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 21–31 | 20–33 |
| 24–26 June 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
| 24–26 June 2019 | MRB Τα Νέα |
23 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 18–28 | 16–29 |
| 24–26 June 2019 | Interview Politik |
20 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 16–25 | 14–27 |
| 19–23 June 2019 | Marc ANT1 |
21 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–27 |
| 18–20 June 2019 | Prorata Newpost |
20 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–28 |
| 18–20 June 2019 | Interview Βεργίνα TV |
21 | 17–25 | 17–25 | 16–26 | 14–28 |
| 18–19 June 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
21 | 19–24 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 |
| 17–19 June 2019 | Opinion Poll | 18 | 15–22 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 13–25 |
| 14–19 June 2019 | Metron Analysis Το Βήμα |
24 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 19–29 | 17–31 |
| 13–19 June 2019 | Alco | 21 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 | 15–29 |
| 10–13 June 2019 | Marc | 23 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 18–30 |
| 10–12 June 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
20 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 15–25 |
| 10–12 June 2019 | MRB Star |
21 | 18–23 | 17–25 | 16–25 | 15–27 |
| 3–5 June 2019 | Metron Analysis Alpha TV |
22 | 19–25 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
| 30 May–1 June 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
24 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 20–28 | 19–30 |
| 20–23 May 2019 | RB | 23 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 18–29 | 17–31 |
| 21–23 May 2019 | Palmos Analysis | 22 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 17–27 |
| 20–23 May 2019 | Marc | 24 | 22–26 | 21–28 | 20–28 | 19–30 |
| 21–22 May 2019 | Κάπα Research | 21 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–26 | 16–28 |
| 21–22 May 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
24 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 18–28 | 18–31 |
| 20–22 May 2019 | Interview | 22 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 17–27 | 16–28 |
| 2–21 May 2019 | Innovation Metrisis | 28 | 24–31 | 24–32 | 23–33 | 21–34 |
| 16–20 May 2019 | Metron Analysis | 19 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 16–24 | 15–26 |
| 15–19 May 2019 | Alco | 19 | 16–23 | 16–24 | 16–24 | 14–26 |
| 15–18 May 2019 | Prorata | 22 | 18–26 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 17–30 |
| 15–17 May 2019 | RASS | 27 | 25–31 | 24–32 | 23–33 | 21–35 |
| 14–17 May 2019 | Palmos Analysis | 18 | 16–20 | 14–21 | 13–23 | 13–25 |
| 14–16 May 2019 | Marc | 23 | 19–26 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 18–29 |
| 6–8 May 2019 | Vox Pop Analysis Documento |
18 | 16–20 | 15–20 | 15–22 | 13–22 |
| 6–8 May 2019 | MRB Star |
23 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 19–29 | 17–30 |
| 15–17 April 2019 | Metron Analysis Alpha TV |
25 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 20–29 | 19–31 |
| 15–17 April 2019 | Interview Βεργίνα TV |
22 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 19–28 | 17–29 |
| 1–3 April 2019 | MRB Star |
22 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 | 16–28 |
| 26 March–1 April 2019 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
21 | 19–25 | 19–26 | 19–26 | 17–28 |
| 26–28 March 2019 | RASS in.gr |
30 | 26–33 | 25–35 | 25–35 | 23–37 |
| 23–27 March 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
23 | 20–25 | 19–27 | 19–27 | 18–29 |
| 19–26 March 2019 | Alco | 21 | 18–24 | 17–26 | 17–26 | 15–28 |
| 18–20 March 2019 | Vox Pop Analysis Documento |
19 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 14–25 | 13–26 |
| 18–20 March 2019 | Metron Analysis Το Βήμα |
22 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–29 |
| 24–26 February 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
23 | 19–26 | 18–26 | 18–26 | 18–28 |
| 18–23 February 2019 | Alco Open |
18 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 14–22 | 12–23 |
| 1–14 February 2019 | Public Issue | 24 | 21–27 | 20–29 | 19–29 | 18–31 |
| 4–5 February 2019 | Interview Βεργίνα TV |
18 | 16–22 | 15–22 | 14–25 | 12–25 |
| 1–4 February 2019 | Prorata Η Εφημερίδα των Συντακτών |
21 | 17–24 | 16–24 | 16–25 | 15–26 |
| 1–2 February 2019 | Vox Pop Analysis Documento |
15 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–18 | 10–20 |
| 28–29 January 2019 | Metron Analysis Το Βήμα |
16 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 |
| 21–24 January 2019 | RASS in.gr |
28 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 23–34 | 22–36 |
| 20–22 January 2019 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
23 | 19–24 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 |
| 14–17 January 2019 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
21 | 18–24 | 18–26 | 17–26 | 16–28 |
| 10–16 January 2019 | Opinion Poll | 16 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 11–19 | 11–20 |
| 16–18 December 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
23 | 20–25 | 20–27 | 19–27 | 18–29 |
| 5–10 December 2018 | Alco Open |
19 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 15–23 | 14–25 |
| 4–6 December 2018 | Κάπα Research thebest.gr |
24 | 20–28 | 19–29 | 18–29 | 17–31 |
| 28 November–6 December 2018 | MRB real.gr |
23 | 21–25 | 20–26 | 20–26 | 19–27 |
| 20–23 November 2018 | Palmos Analysis TVXS |
18 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 15–24 | 14–26 |
| 19–21 November 2018 | Metron Analysis Τα Νέα |
20 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 16–25 | 15–26 |
| 18–20 November 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
25 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 22–31 | 21–32 |
| 6–16 November 2018 | Public Issue | 28 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 23–34 | 22–36 |
| 22–24 October 2018 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
24 | 21–28 | 20–30 | 20–31 | 19–31 |
| 14–16 October 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
25 | 21–27 | 20–27 | 20–28 | 19–30 |
| 18–21 September 2018 | Palmos Analysis TVXS |
24 | 21–28 | 20–29 | 20–30 | 18–32 |
| 18–20 September 2018 | Metron Analysis Τα Νέα |
23 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 20–28 | 17–30 |
| 17–19 September 2018 | MRB Star |
22 | 20–25 | 18–26 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Alco Kontra Channel |
20 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 15–24 | 14–26 |
| 17–18 September 2018 | Κάπα Research ΕΘΝΟΣ |
25 | 22–26 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 19–31 |
| 16–18 September 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
23 | 20–26 | 19–26 | 19–27 | 17–28 |
| 8 September 2018 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
23 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 18–28 | 17–29 |
| 25 June–2 July 2018 | Κάπα Research ΕΘΝΟΣ |
26 | 22–29 | 22–30 | 22–31 | 20–33 |
| 22–29 June 2018 | MRB Real |
30 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 26–33 | 24–34 |
| 26–28 June 2018 | Metron Analysis Τα Νέα |
28 | 26–31 | 24–33 | 22–35 | 21–37 |
| 23–27 June 2018 | Alco Kontra Channel |
22 | 19–25 | 18–27 | 17–28 | 16–29 |
| 24–26 June 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
25 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 21–27 | 20–29 |
| 13–15 June 2018 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
27 | 24–30 | 22–31 | 22–32 | 21–35 |
| 29–31 May 2018 | RASS Action 24 |
31 | 28–35 | 27–36 | 27–37 | 25–39 |
| 16–20 May 2018 | Alco Kontra Channel |
23 | 20–28 | 20–30 | 18–31 | 17–32 |
| 13–15 May 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
25 | 22–29 | 22–30 | 21–31 | 21–33 |
| 23 April–7 May 2018 | Public Issue | 30 | 27–35 | 27–36 | 26–36 | 25–40 |
| 21 April 2018 | Metron Analysis Τα Νέα |
27 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 20–31 | 20–32 |
| 15–17 April 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
30 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 25–34 | 24–36 |
| 11–16 April 2018 | Alco Ραδιόφωνο 24/7 |
24 | 21–28 | 20–29 | 19–29 | 18–32 |
| 12–15 April 2018 | Palmos Analysis TVXS |
28 | 24–31 | 23–32 | 23–33 | 21–35 |
| 3 April 2018 | Κάπα Research ΕΘΝΟΣ |
32 | 30–32 | 29–32 | 29–33 | 28–34 |
| 1–23 March 2018 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
30 | 26–32 | 23–33 | 23–35 | 22–36 |
| 11–13 March 2018 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
30 | 25–33 | 25–33 | 24–33 | 23–35 |
| 6–8 March 2018 | RASS Πρώτο Θέμα |
34 | 29–37 | 29–39 | 29–39 | 26–41 |
| 3 March 2018 | Pulse RC Δημοκρατία |
25 | 24–31 | 23–32 | 22–33 | 22–35 |
| 3 March 2018 | Opinion Poll Παρασκήνιο |
26 | 22–29 | 22–30 | 21–30 | 19–33 |
| 22–24 February 2018 | Alco ΕΘΝΟΣ |
24 | 24–29 | 23–30 | 22–32 | 20–33 |
| 12–23 February 2018 | Metron Analysis Το Βήμα |
25 | 23–27 | 22–27 | 22–28 | 20–29 |
| 25–29 January 2018 | Pulse RC Action 24 |
30 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 26–34 | 24–36 |
| 20 January 2018 | Metron Analysis Τα Νέα |
27 | 25–33 | 24–33 | 23–33 | 22–35 |
| 8–18 January 2018 | Public Issue | 38 | 34–42 | 34–42 | 33–43 | 31–45 |
| 16–18 January 2018 | Alco Ραδιόφωνο 24/7 |
26 | 23–30 | 23–31 | 22–32 | 21–33 |
| 13 January 2018 | Marc Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ |
31 | 28–35 | 26–36 | 25–36 | 24–39 |
| 8–10 January 2018 | Pulse RC bankingnews.gr |
29 | 25–32 | 25–33 | 24–34 | 23–36 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Κίνημα Αλλαγής.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 17 | 4% | 97% | Last Result |
| 18 | 9% | 93% | |
| 19 | 9% | 84% | |
| 20 | 13% | 74% | |
| 21 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 22 | 17% | 47% | |
| 23 | 11% | 30% | |
| 24 | 7% | 19% | |
| 25 | 5% | 12% | |
| 26 | 4% | 7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |