Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Το Βήμα, 12–23 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 34.9% 33.7–36.2% 33.3–36.6% 33.0–36.9% 32.4–37.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 25.2% 24.1–26.4% 23.8–26.7% 23.5–27.0% 22.9–27.6%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 9.4% 8.6–10.2% 8.4–10.5% 8.3–10.7% 7.9–11.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 8.4% 7.7–9.2% 7.5–9.4% 7.3–9.6% 7.0–10.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 7.0% 6.4–7.7% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.7–8.5%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 3.0% 2.6–3.5% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0%
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 3.7% 2.5% 2.1–3.0% 2.0–3.1% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.5%
Λαϊκή Ενότητα 2.9% 1.9% 1.6–2.3% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 1.5% 1.2–1.9% 1.2–2.0% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 149 146–152 144–154 144–155 142–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 70 68–76 68–77 67–79 64–80
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 29 25–30 24–30 23–31 23–32
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 25 23–27 22–27 22–28 20–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 19–22 17–23 17–24 16–25
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–11
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 10 0 0–9 0–9 0–9 0–10
Λαϊκή Ενότητα 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ελληνική Λύση 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0.2% 100%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0.6% 99.7%  
143 0.5% 99.1%  
144 4% 98.7%  
145 3% 95%  
146 5% 92%  
147 3% 86%  
148 27% 84%  
149 13% 57% Median
150 16% 44%  
151 12% 28% Majority
152 6% 16%  
153 3% 10%  
154 3% 7%  
155 1.3% 3%  
156 0.2% 2%  
157 0.3% 2%  
158 0.8% 2%  
159 0.4% 0.8%  
160 0% 0.4%  
161 0.3% 0.3%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.3% 100%  
64 0.4% 99.7%  
65 0.2% 99.3%  
66 0.7% 99.1%  
67 3% 98%  
68 12% 96%  
69 14% 84%  
70 24% 70% Median
71 7% 46%  
72 4% 39%  
73 2% 35%  
74 3% 32%  
75 13% 29%  
76 8% 17%  
77 3% 8%  
78 2% 5%  
79 3% 3%  
80 0.3% 0.6%  
81 0.3% 0.3%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0% 100% Last Result
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.3% 100%  
23 3% 99.7%  
24 3% 97%  
25 5% 94%  
26 17% 89%  
27 13% 73%  
28 4% 59%  
29 44% 55% Median
30 7% 11%  
31 3% 4%  
32 0.5% 0.6%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.6% 99.9%  
21 1.2% 99.3%  
22 7% 98%  
23 18% 91%  
24 19% 73%  
25 29% 54% Median
26 6% 25%  
27 14% 19%  
28 4% 5%  
29 0.9% 1.0%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0% 100% Last Result
16 0.5% 100%  
17 5% 99.5%  
18 5% 95%  
19 38% 90%  
20 18% 52% Median
21 8% 34%  
22 20% 26%  
23 3% 6%  
24 2% 3%  
25 1.0% 1.0%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Median
1 0% 48%  
2 0% 48%  
3 0% 48%  
4 0% 48%  
5 0% 48%  
6 0% 48%  
7 0% 48%  
8 2% 48%  
9 28% 47% Last Result
10 14% 19%  
11 5% 5%  
12 0% 0.2%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Median
1 0% 22%  
2 0% 22%  
3 0% 22%  
4 0% 22%  
5 0% 22%  
6 0% 22%  
7 0% 22%  
8 0.6% 22%  
9 20% 22%  
10 1.2% 1.2% Last Result
11 0% 0%  

Λαϊκή Ενότητα

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Λαϊκή Ενότητα page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 173 100% 170–179 169–180 168–181 164–184
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 149 28% 146–152 144–154 144–155 142–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες – Λαϊκή Ενότητα 155 75 0% 68–79 68–79 68–79 66–83
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 155 75 0% 68–79 68–79 68–79 66–83
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Λαϊκή Ενότητα 145 70 0% 68–76 68–77 67–79 64–80
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 70 0% 68–76 68–77 67–79 64–80

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0.2% 100%  
164 0.5% 99.8%  
165 0.3% 99.3%  
166 0.1% 99.0%  
167 0.5% 98.8%  
168 1.5% 98%  
169 5% 97%  
170 4% 92%  
171 4% 89%  
172 21% 84%  
173 19% 63%  
174 13% 44% Median
175 7% 31%  
176 4% 25%  
177 1.3% 20%  
178 8% 19%  
179 2% 11%  
180 4% 9%  
181 3% 5%  
182 0.5% 2%  
183 0.4% 2%  
184 1.1% 1.3%  
185 0.1% 0.2%  
186 0.1% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0.2% 100%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0.6% 99.7%  
143 0.5% 99.1%  
144 4% 98.7%  
145 3% 95%  
146 5% 92%  
147 3% 86%  
148 27% 84%  
149 13% 57% Median
150 16% 44%  
151 12% 28% Majority
152 6% 16%  
153 3% 10%  
154 3% 7%  
155 1.3% 3%  
156 0.2% 2%  
157 0.3% 2%  
158 0.8% 2%  
159 0.4% 0.8%  
160 0% 0.4%  
161 0.3% 0.3%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες – Λαϊκή Ενότητα

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.7%  
67 2% 99.4%  
68 12% 98%  
69 13% 86%  
70 6% 73% Median
71 7% 67%  
72 4% 60%  
73 3% 56%  
74 3% 54%  
75 13% 50%  
76 9% 38%  
77 4% 29%  
78 2% 25%  
79 21% 23%  
80 0.9% 2%  
81 0.8% 1.5%  
82 0.1% 0.7%  
83 0.1% 0.5%  
84 0.3% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.7%  
67 2% 99.4%  
68 12% 98%  
69 13% 86%  
70 6% 73% Median
71 7% 67%  
72 4% 60%  
73 3% 56%  
74 3% 54%  
75 13% 50%  
76 9% 38%  
77 4% 28%  
78 2% 25%  
79 21% 23%  
80 0.9% 2%  
81 0.8% 1.5%  
82 0.1% 0.7%  
83 0% 0.5%  
84 0.3% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Λαϊκή Ενότητα

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.3% 100%  
64 0.4% 99.7%  
65 0.2% 99.3%  
66 0.7% 99.1%  
67 3% 98%  
68 12% 96%  
69 14% 84%  
70 24% 70% Median
71 7% 46%  
72 4% 39%  
73 2% 35%  
74 3% 32%  
75 13% 29%  
76 8% 17%  
77 3% 8%  
78 2% 5%  
79 3% 3%  
80 0.3% 0.7%  
81 0.3% 0.3%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.3% 100%  
64 0.4% 99.7%  
65 0.2% 99.3%  
66 0.7% 99.1%  
67 3% 98%  
68 12% 96%  
69 14% 84%  
70 24% 70% Median
71 7% 46%  
72 4% 39%  
73 2% 35%  
74 3% 32%  
75 13% 29%  
76 8% 17%  
77 3% 8%  
78 2% 5%  
79 3% 3%  
80 0.3% 0.6%  
81 0.3% 0.3%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations